COAPS Regional Forecast System for the Southeast

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Map of the Southeast

We are currently issuing real-time regional forecasts for the Southeast using two approaches: a statistical downscaling model, and a dynamical downscaling model.

"Downscaling" means translating a relative coarse-resolution forecast - in our case the FSU/COAPS Global Circulation Model (GCM; horizontal resolution of approximately 200 km) - to a finer-resolution grid over a region of interest (in our case, horizontal resolution of 20 km over the Southeast).

Our forecasts are issued four times per year. The starting dates and forecast lengths are tailored to the needs of seasonal crop planting planners.

We are planning to diversify this set-up in the near future. To see the latest forecasts at both the original and downscaled resolution using statistical or dynamical downscaling, please select from the table below.

Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the Climate Prediction Center at NCEP.

 
CURRENT FORECASTS
APRIL 2010 - SEPTEMBER 2010

Click on a variable (Tavg, etc.) to view the forecast in a popup window.
Statistical downscaling: FSU/COAPS modelDynamical downscaling: FSU/COAPS model
Apr 2010 Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Rad
May 2010 Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Rad
Jun 2010 Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Rad
Jul 2010 Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Rad
Aug 2010 Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Rad
Sep 2010 Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Rad
A-M-J 2010 Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Rad
J-A-S 2010 Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Tavg Prcp Tmin Tmax Rad
Prcp = Precipitation     Rad = Solar Radiation
Tavg = Average Temperature     Tmin = Minimum Temperature
Tmax = Maximum Temperature
 
 
FORECAST SCHEDULE
Subject to change. Click on a link to view past forecasts.
Forecast AvailableForecast LengthMonths Covered
June 20094 monthsJune 2009 - September 2009
October 20096 monthsOctober 2009 - March 2010
April 20106 monthsApril 2010 - September 2010
 

Please send comments or questions about the statistical downscaling forecasts to Young-Kwon Lim at . Questions or comments about the dynamical downscaling forecasts should be sent to Lydia Stefanova at . If you are interested in the application of this forecast data to agriculture, please contact Dong-Wook Shin at .