COAPS Regional Forecast System for the Southeast
Click on any red-colored word or phrase for additional information.
We are currently issuing real-time regional forecasts for the Southeast using two approaches: a statistical downscaling model, and a dynamical downscaling model.
"Downscaling" means translating a relative coarse-resolution forecast - in our case the FSU/COAPS Global Circulation Model (GCM; horizontal resolution of approximately 200 km) - to a finer-resolution grid over a region of interest (in our case, horizontal resolution of 20 km over the Southeast).
Our forecasts are issued four times per year. The starting dates and forecast lengths are tailored to the needs of seasonal crop planting planners.
We are planning to diversify this set-up in the near future. To see the latest forecasts at both the original and downscaled resolution using statistical or dynamical downscaling, please select from the table below.
Please note that these products are experimental and not official forecasts. For official forecasts in the U.S., please refer to the Climate Prediction Center at NCEP.
| CURRENT FORECASTS APRIL 2010 - SEPTEMBER 2010 Click on a variable (Tavg, etc.) to view the forecast in a popup window. | |||||||||
| Statistical downscaling: FSU/COAPS model | Dynamical downscaling: FSU/COAPS model | ||||||||
| Apr 2010 | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Rad |
| May 2010 | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Rad |
| Jun 2010 | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Rad |
| Jul 2010 | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Rad |
| Aug 2010 | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Rad |
| Sep 2010 | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Rad |
| A-M-J 2010 | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Rad |
| J-A-S 2010 | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Tavg | Prcp | Tmin | Tmax | Rad |
| Prcp = Precipitation Rad = Solar Radiation Tavg = Average Temperature Tmin = Minimum Temperature Tmax = Maximum Temperature | |||||||||
| FORECAST SCHEDULE Subject to change. Click on a link to view past forecasts. | |||||||||
| Forecast Available | Forecast Length | Months Covered | |||||||
| June 2009 | 4 months | June 2009 - September 2009 | |||||||
| October 2009 | 6 months | October 2009 - March 2010 | |||||||
| April 2010 | 6 months | April 2010 - September 2010 | |||||||
Please send comments or questions about the statistical downscaling forecasts to Young-Kwon Lim at . Questions or comments about the dynamical downscaling forecasts should be sent to Lydia Stefanova at . If you are interested in the application of this forecast data to agriculture, please contact Dong-Wook Shin at .



