GSM Seasonal Forecasts



Global Seasonal Mean Anomalies

(Click on an X to view plots)
 Forecast Start Date Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
Precipitation X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X
500hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X
Wind Speed at 10m X X X X X X X X X X X X
Sensible Heat Flux X X X X X X X X X X X X
Latent Heat Flux X X X X X X X X X X X X

Pacific-North America Seasonal Mean Anomalies
(Click on an X to view plots)
 Forecast Start Date Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
Precipitation X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X
500hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X
Wind Speed at 10m X X X X X X X X X X X X
Sensible Heat Flux X X X X X X X X X X X X
Latent Heat Flux X X X X X X X X X X X X

Spread of the 10 Ensemble Members (30S-30N)
(Showing the result of each ensemble member run averaged from 30S to 30N)
 Forecast Start Date Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
10m Zonal Wind X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X

Spread of the 10 Ensemble Members (30N-60N)
(Showing the result of each ensemble member run averaged from 30N to 60N)
 Forecast Start Date Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
10m Zonal Wind X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X

Standard Deviation of the 10 Ensemble Members
(with the total field overlayed)
 Forecast Start Date Aug 2013 Sep 2013 Oct 2013 Nov 2013 Dec 2013 Jan 2014 Feb 2014 Mar 2014 Apr 2014 May 2014 Jun 2014 Jul 2014
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
10m Zonal Wind X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X

Consistency Plots
(Showing 4 forecasts for a given season)
 Forecast Start Dates Jun 13 - Sep 13 Jul 13 - Oct 13 Aug 13 - Nov 13 Sep 13 - Dec 13 Oct 13 - Jan 14 Nov 13 - Feb 14 Dec 13 - Mar 14 Jan 14 - Apr 14 Feb 14 - May 14
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X
Precipitation X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X
SST NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

 

[ GSM Home ]