Records |
Author |
Venugopal, T.; Ali, M.M.; Bourassa, M.A.; Zheng, Y.; Goni, G.J.; Foltz, G.R.; Rajeevan, M. |
Title |
Statistical Evidence for the Role of Southwestern Indian Ocean Heat Content in the Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2018 |
Publication |
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS |
Abbreviated Journal |
Sci Rep |
Volume |
8 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
12092 |
Keywords |
SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURE; EL-NINO; EQUATORIAL PACIFIC; IMPACT; PREDICTION; ENSO; DIPOLE; REGION; SST |
Abstract |
This study examines the benefit of using Ocean Mean Temperature (OMT) to aid in the prediction of the sign of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall (ISMR) anomalies. This is a statistical examination, rather than a process study. The thermal energy needed for maintaining and intensifying hurricanes and monsoons comes from the upper ocean, not just from the thin layer represented by sea surface temperature (SST) alone. Here, we show that the southwestern Indian OMT down to the depth of the 26 degrees C isotherm during January-March is a better qualitative predictor of the ISMR than SST. The success rate in predicting above- or below-average ISMR is 80% for OMT compared to 60% for SST. Other January-March mean climate indices (e.g., NINO3.4, Indian Ocean Dipole Mode Index, El Nino Southern Oscillation Modoki Index) have less predictability (52%, 48%, and 56%, respectively) than OMT percentage deviation (PD) (80%). Thus, OMT PD in the southwestern Indian Ocean provides a better qualitative prediction of ISMR by the end of March and indicates whether the ISMR will be above or below the climatological mean value. |
Address |
Ministry of Earth Sciences, Government of India, New Delhi, India |
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English |
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2045-2322 |
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strtoupper('3').strtolower('0108244'); strtoupper('P').strtolower('MC6092415') |
Approved |
$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ user @ |
Serial |
972 |
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Author |
Krishnamurthy, V.; Misra, V. |
Title |
Observed ENSO teleconnections with the South American monsoon system |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2010 |
Publication |
Atmospheric Science Letters |
Abbreviated Journal |
Atmos. Sci. Lett. |
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Issue |
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Pages |
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Keywords |
ENSO; South America; monsoon variability; sea surface temperature |
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ISSN |
1530261X |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
351 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Marx, L. |
Title |
The coupled seasonal hindcasts of the South American monsoon |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2009 |
Publication |
International Journal of Climatology |
Abbreviated Journal |
Int. J. Climatol. |
Volume |
29 |
Issue |
8 |
Pages |
1101-1115 |
Keywords |
South American monsoon; ENSO; prediction |
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0899-8418 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
654 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Groenen, D.; Bhardwaj, A.; Mishra, A. |
Title |
The warm pool variability of the tropical northeast Pacific |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2016 |
Publication |
International Journal of Climatology |
Abbreviated Journal |
Int. J. Climatol. |
Volume |
36 |
Issue |
14 |
Pages |
4625-4637 |
Keywords |
warm pool; ENSO; monsoon |
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0899-8418 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
44 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Mishra, A.; Bhardwaj, A. |
Title |
High-resolution regional-coupled ocean-atmosphere simulation of the Indian Summer Monsoon |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2017 |
Publication |
International Journal of Climatology |
Abbreviated Journal |
Int. J. Climatol |
Volume |
37 |
Issue |
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Pages |
717-740 |
Keywords |
monsoon; regional model; ENSO |
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0899-8418 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
15 |
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Author |
Bourassa, M.A.; McBeth Ford, K. |
Title |
Uncertainty in Scatterometer-Derived Vorticity |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2010 |
Publication |
Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol. |
Volume |
27 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
594-603 |
Keywords |
Satellite observations; Wind; Instrumentation/sensors |
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ISSN |
0739-0572 |
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OVWST |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
365 |
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Author |
Gilford, D.M.; Smith, S.R.; Griffin, M.L.; Arguez, A. |
Title |
Southeastern U.S. Daily Temperature Ranges Associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol. |
Volume |
52 |
Issue |
11 |
Pages |
2434-2449 |
Keywords |
Climate variability; Climatology; ENSO; Surface temperature; Climate records |
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ISSN |
1558-8424 |
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$loc['no'] |
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COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
180 |
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Author |
Feng, J.; Wu, Z.; Zou, X. |
Title |
Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies off Baja California: A Possible Precursor of ENSO |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Atmos. Sci. |
Volume |
71 |
Issue |
5 |
Pages |
1529-1537 |
Keywords |
ENSO; El Nino |
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0022-4928 |
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$loc['no'] |
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COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
127 |
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Author |
Choi, K.-Y.; Vecchi, G.A.; Wittenberg, A.T. |
Title |
ENSO Transition, Duration, and Amplitude Asymmetries: Role of the Nonlinear Wind Stress Coupling in a Conceptual Model |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2013 |
Publication |
Journal of Climate |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Climate |
Volume |
26 |
Issue |
23 |
Pages |
9462-9476 |
Keywords |
Atmosphere-ocean interaction; ENSO; Numerical analysis/modeling; Southern Oscillation |
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ISSN |
0894-8755 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
210 |
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Author |
Bunge, L.; Clarke, A.J. |
Title |
On the Warm Water Volume and Its Changing Relationship with ENSO |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2014 |
Publication |
Journal of Physical Oceanography |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Phys. Oceanogr. |
Volume |
44 |
Issue |
5 |
Pages |
1372-1385 |
Keywords |
Physical Meteorology and Climatology; Climate variability; ENSO; Observational techniques and algorithms; Climate records; Variability; Decadal variability; Interannual variability |
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0022-3670 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
156 |
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