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Kelly, D. L., Letson, D., Nelson, F., Nolan, D. S., & Solís, D. (2012). Evolution of subjective hurricane risk perceptions: A Bayesian approach.
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
,
81
(2), 644–663.
Keywords:
Risk perceptions
;
Correlated information
;
Bayesian learning
;
Event markets
;
Prediction markets
;
Favorite-longshot bias
;
Hurricanes
https://www.coaps.fsu.edu/bibliography/show.php?record=329