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| Author | Boisserie, M | ||||
| Title | Generation of an empirical soil moisture initialization and its potential impact on subseasonal forecasting skill of continental precipitation and air temperature | Type | $loc['typeManuscript'] | ||
| Year | 2010 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
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| Abstract | The effect of the PAR technique on the model soil moisture estimates is evaluated using the Global Soil Wetness Project Phase 2 (GSWP-2) multimodel analysis product (used as a proxy for global soil moisture observations) and actual in-situ observations from the state of Illinois. The results show that overall the PAR technique is effective; across most of the globe, the seasonal and anomaly variability of the model soil moisture estimates well reproduce the values of GSWP-2 in the top 1.5 m soil layer; by comparing to in-situ observations in Illinois, we find that the seasonal and anomaly soil moisture variability is also well represented deep into the soil. Therefore, in this study, we produce a new global soil moisture analysis dataset that can be used for many land surface studies (crop modeling, water resource management, soil erosion, etc.). Then, the contribution of the resulting soil moisture analysis (used as initial conditions) on air temperature and precipitation forecasts are investigated. For this, we follow the experimental set up of a model intercomparison study over the time period 1986-1995, the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment second phase (GLACE-2), in which the FSU/COAPS climate model has participated. The results of the summertime air temperature forecasts show a significant increase in skill across most of the U.S. at short-term to subseasonal time scales. No increase in summertime precipitation forecasting skill is found at short-term to subseasonal time scales between 1986 and 1995, except for the anomalous drought year of 1988. We also analyze the forecasts of two extreme hydrological events, the 1988 U.S. Drought and the 1993 U.S. flood. In general, the comparison of these two extreme hydrological event forecasts shows greater improvement for the summertime of 1988 than that of 1993, suggesting that soil moisture contributes more to the development of a drought than a flood. This result is consistent with Dirmeyer and Brubaker [1999] and Weaver et al. [2009]. By analyzing the evaporative sources of these two extreme events using the back-trajectory methodology of Dirmeyer and Brubaker [1999], we find similar results as this latter paper; the soil moisture-precipitation feedback mechanism seems to play a greater role during the drought year of 1988 than the flood year of 1993. Finally, the accuracy of this soil moisture initialization depends upon the quality of the precipitation dataset that is assimilated. Because of the lack of observed precipitation at a high temporal resolution (3-hourly) for the study period (1986-1995), a reanalysis product is used for precipitation assimilation in this study. It is important to keep in mind that precipitation data in reanalysis sometimes differ significantly from observations since precipitation is often not assimilated into the reanalysis model. In order to investigate that aspect, a similar analysis to that we performed in this study could be done using the 3-hourly Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) dataset available for a the time period 1998-present. Then, since the TRMM dataset is a fully observational dataset, we expect the soil moisture initialization to be improved over that obtained in this study, which, in turn, may further increase the forecast skill. | ||||
| Address | Department of Meteorology | ||||
| Corporate Author | Thesis | $loc['Ph.D. thesis'] | |||
| Publisher | Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL, FL | Editor | |
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 569 | ||
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| Author | Stauffer, C. L. | ||||
| Title | Air-sea coupling dependency on sea surface temperature fronts as observed by research vessel data | Type | $loc['typeManuscript'] | ||
| Year | 2018 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
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| Address | Department of Earth Ocean and Atmospheric Science | ||||
| Corporate Author | Thesis | $loc['Bachelor's thesis'] | |||
| Publisher | Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 945 | ||
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| Author | Morey, S.; Koch, M.; Liu, Y.; Lee, S. -K. | ||||
| Title | Florida's oceans and marine habitats in a changing climate | Type | $loc['typeBook Chapter'] | ||
| Year | 2017 | Publication | Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts | Abbreviated Journal | |
| Volume | Issue | Pages | 391-425 | ||
| Keywords | Ocean climate; Sea level rise; Florida climate; Gulf of Mexico; AMOC; Caribbean climate; Florida hydrology; Florida reefs; Global warming | ||||
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| Publisher | Florida Climate Institute | Place of Publication | Gainesville, FL | Editor | Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J. |
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 848 | ||
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| Author | Bourassa, MA | ||||
| Title | Shear stress model for the aqueous boundary layer near the air-sea interface | Type | $loc['typeJournal Article'] | ||
| Year | 2000 | Publication | Journal of Geophysical Research – Oceans | Abbreviated Journal | |
| Volume | 105 | Issue | C1 | Pages | 1167-1176 |
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 522 | ||
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| Author | Tartaglione, C. S.; Hanley, D. E.; O'Brien, J. J.; Smith, S. R. | ||||
| Title | Regional Effects of ENSO on U.S Hurricane Landfalls | Type | $loc['typeReport'] | ||
| Year | 2002 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
| Volume | Issue | Pages | 45 | ||
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| Publisher | Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Series Editor | Series Title | COAPS Technical Report 02-5 | Abbreviated Series Title | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 857 | ||
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| Author | Bove, M. C.; O'Brien, J. J. | ||||
| Title | PDO Modification of U.S ENSO Climate Impacts | Type | $loc['typeReport'] | ||
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| Series Editor | Series Title | COAPS Technical Report 00-3, 103 pp., Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, 32306-2840 | Abbreviated Series Title | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 796 | ||
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| Author | Arguez, A.; Smith, S. R.; O'Brien, J. J. | ||||
| Title | The relationship between low-frequency North Atlantic sea surface temperatures and Eastern North American climate | Type | $loc['typeReport'] | ||
| Year | 2002 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
| Volume | Issue | Pages | 55 | ||
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| Publisher | Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Series Editor | Series Title | COAPS Technical Report 02-6 | Abbreviated Series Title | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 858 | ||
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| Author | Salapata, D.; Higgins, W.; Schemn, J.; O'Brien, J. J. | ||||
| Title | Winter Temperature and Precipitation Verification of the NCEP Operational Climate Model | Type | $loc['typeReport'] | ||
| Year | 2002 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
| Volume | Issue | Pages | 48 | ||
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| Publisher | Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Series Editor | Series Title | COAPS Technical Report 02-04b | Abbreviated Series Title | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 860 | ||
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| Author | Phelps, M.; Kumar, A.; O'Brien, J. J. | ||||
| Title | Potential predictability in the NCEP/CPC dynamical seasonal forecast system | Type | $loc['typeReport'] | ||
| Year | 2002 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
| Volume | Issue | Pages | 54 | ||
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| Publisher | Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Series Editor | Series Title | COAPS Technical Report 02-04a | Abbreviated Series Title | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 859 | ||
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| Author | Enloe, J.; O'Brien, J. J.; Smith, S. R. | ||||
| Title | ENSO impacts on peak wind gusts in the United States | Type | $loc['typeReport'] | ||
| Year | 2002 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
| Volume | Issue | 02-3 | Pages | 41 | |
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| Publisher | Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Series Editor | Series Title | COAPS Technical Report Series | Abbreviated Series Title | ||
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| Funding | NOAA, NASA | Approved | $loc['no'] | ||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 854 | ||
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