Records |
Author |
Misra, V.; Bhardwaj, A. |
Title |
Understanding the seasonal variations of Peninsular Florida |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Climate Dynamics |
Abbreviated Journal |
Clim Dyn |
Volume |
54 |
Issue |
3-4 |
Pages |
1873-1885 |
Keywords |
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Abstract |
This study accounts for varying lengths of the seasons, which turns out to be an important consideration of climate variability over Peninsular Florida (PF). We introduce an objective definition for the onset and demise of the winter season over relatively homogenous regions within PF: North Florida (NF), Central Florida (CF), Southeast Florida (SeF), and Southwest Florida (SwF). We first define the summer season based on precipitation, and follow this by defining the winter season using surface temperature analysis. As a consequence, of these definitions of the summer and the winter seasons, the lengths of the transition seasons of spring and fall also vary from year to year. The onset date variations have a robust relationship with the corresponding seasonal length anomalies across PF for all seasons. Furthermore, with some exceptions, the onset date variations are associated with corresponding seasonal rainfall and surface temperature anomalies, which makes monitoring the onset date of the seasons a potentially useful predictor of the following evolution of the season. In many of these instances the demise date variations of the season also have a bearing on the preceding seasonal length and seasonal rainfall anomalies. However, we find that variations of the onset and the demise dates are independent of each other across PF and in all seasons. We also find that the iconic ENSO teleconnection over PF is exclusive to the seasonal rainfall anomalies and it does not affect the variations in the length of the winter season. Given these findings, we strongly suggest monitoring and predicting the variations in the lengths of the seasons over PF as it is not only an important metric of climate variability but also beneficial to reduce a variety of risks of impact of anomalous seasonal climate variations. |
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ISSN |
0930-7575 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ user @ |
Serial |
1098 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Bhardwaj, A. |
Title |
Defining the Northeast Monsoon of India |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Monthly Weather Review |
Abbreviated Journal |
Mon. Wea. Rev. |
Volume |
147 |
Issue |
3 |
Pages |
791-807 |
Keywords |
Indian Summer Monsoon, intraseasonal,Climate models, variability, NEM, rainfall |
Abstract |
This study introduces an objective definition for onset and demise of the Northeast Indian Monsoon (NEM). The definition is based on the land surface temperature analysis over the Indian subcontinent. It is diagnosed from the inflection points in the daily anomaly cumulative curve of the area-averaged surface temperature over the provinces of Andhra Pradesh, Rayalseema, and Tamil Nadu located in the southeastern part of India. Per this definition, the climatological onset and demise dates of the NEM season are 6 November and 13 March, respectively. The composite evolution of the seasonal cycle of 850hPa winds, surface wind stress, surface ocean currents, and upper ocean heat content suggest a seasonal shift around the time of the diagnosed onset and demise dates of the NEM season. The interannual variations indicate onset date variations have a larger impact than demise date variations on the seasonal length, seasonal anomalies of rainfall, and surface temperature of the NEM. Furthermore, it is shown that warm El Niño�Southern Oscillation (ENSO) episodes are associated with excess seasonal rainfall, warm seasonal land surface temperature anomalies, and reduced lengths of the NEM season. Likewise, cold ENSO episodes are likely to be related to seasonal deficit rainfall anomalies, cold land surface temperature anomalies, and increased lengths of the NEM season. |
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English |
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ISSN |
0027-0644 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ rl18 @ |
Serial |
999 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Bhardwaj, A.; Mishra, A. |
Title |
Local onset and demise of the Indian summer monsoon |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Climate Dynamics |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
51 |
Issue |
5-6 |
Pages |
1609-1622 |
Keywords |
Indian monsoon; ENSO; Onset of monsoon |
Abstract |
This paper introduces an objective definition of local onset and demise of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) at the native grid of the Indian Meteorological Department's rainfall analysis based on more than 100 years of rain gauge observations. The variability of the local onset/demise of the ISM is shown to be closely associated with the All India averaged rainfall onset/demise. This association is consistent with the corresponding evolution of the slow large-scale reversals of upper air and ocean variables that raise the hope of predictability of local onset and demise of the ISM. The local onset/demise of the ISM also show robust internannual variations associated with El Nino and the Southern Oscillation and Indian Ocean dipole mode. It is also shown that the early monsoon rains over northeast India has a predictive potential for the following seasonal anomalies of rainfall and seasonal length of the monsoon over rest of India. |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
360 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Dirmeyer, P.A. |
Title |
Air, Sea, and Land Interactions of the Continental U.S. Hydroclimate |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2009 |
Publication |
Journal of Hydrometeorology |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Hydrometeor |
Volume |
10 |
Issue |
2 |
Pages |
353-373 |
Keywords |
Atmosphere-land interaction; Hydrometeorology; Climatology; Air-sea interaction; Multidecadal variability; Coupled models |
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ISSN |
1525-755X |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
664 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Marx, L. |
Title |
The coupled seasonal hindcasts of the South American monsoon |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2009 |
Publication |
International Journal of Climatology |
Abbreviated Journal |
Int. J. Climatol. |
Volume |
29 |
Issue |
8 |
Pages |
1101-1115 |
Keywords |
South American monsoon; ENSO; prediction |
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ISSN |
0899-8418 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
654 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Mishra, A.; Bhardwaj, A. |
Title |
A coupled ocean-atmosphere downscaled climate projection for the peninsular Florida region |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2019 |
Publication |
Journal of Marine Systems |
Abbreviated Journal |
Journal of Marine Systems |
Volume |
194 |
Issue |
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Pages |
25-40 |
Keywords |
Climate projection; Peninsular Florida; bathymetry; climate simulation; future |
Abstract |
A downscaled projection over the Peninsular Florida (PF) region is conducted with a Regional Climate Model (RCM) at 10 km grid spacing that incorporates interactive coupling between the atmosphere and ocean components of the climate system. This is first such application of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model for climate projection over the PF region. The RCM is shown to display reasonable fidelity in simulating the mean current climate and exhibits higher variability both in the ocean and in the atmosphere than the large-scale global model (Community Climate System Model version 4 [CCSM4]), which is used to drive the RCM. There are several features of the regional climate that RCM displays as an improvement over CCSM4: upper ocean thermal stratification, surface eddy kinetic energy of the ocean, volume flux through the Yucatan Channel, and terrestrial rainfall over PF. The projected mean hydroclimatic change over the period 2041�2060 relative to 1986�2005 over PF shows significant difference between RCM and CCSM4, with the RCM becoming significantly drier and CCSM4 moderately wetter. Furthermore, over the ocean surface, especially over the West Florida Shelf (WFS), RCM displays a wetter and a warmer surface climate compared to the CCSM4 simulation.
Our analysis of the model output indicates that improved resolution of ocean bathymetry in the RCM plays a significant role in the response of the projected changes in surface heat flux, clouds, upper ocean circulations and upper ocean stratification, which manifests with some of the largest differences from the CCSM4 projections, especially over the shallower parts of the ocean around PF. This contrast is most apparent between WFS and PF in the RCM simulation, which suggests that a future warm climate would likely produce more rain over WFS at the expense of corresponding reduction over PF, contrary to the absence of any such gradient in the CCSM4 simulation. Furthermore, in the RCM simulation, the warming of the sub-surface ocean in the future climate is owed to the combined influence of excess atmospheric heat flux directed towards the ocean from the atmosphere and the advective heat flux convergence with the relative slowing of the Loop Current in the future climate. The study demonstrates that such RCMs with coupled ocean-atmosphere interactions are necessary to downscale the global climate models to project the surface hydro-climate over regions like PF that have mesoscale features in the ocean, which can influence the terrestrial climate. |
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0924-7963 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ user @ |
Serial |
1003 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Mishra, A.; Bhardwaj, A. |
Title |
Simulation of the Intraseasonal Variations of the Indian Summer Monsoon in a Regional Coupled Ocean-Atmosphere Model |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Journal of Climate |
Abbreviated Journal |
J. Climate |
Volume |
31 |
Issue |
8 |
Pages |
3167-3185 |
Keywords |
Asia; Indian Ocean; Mixed layer; Monsoons; Atmosphere-ocean interaction; Regional models |
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0894-8755 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
557 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Mishra, A.; Bhardwaj, A.; Viswanthan, K.; Schmutz, D. |
Title |
The potential role of land cover on secular changes of the hydroclimate of Peninsular Florida |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Climate and Atmospheric Science |
Abbreviated Journal |
Clim Atmos Sci |
Volume |
1 |
Issue |
1 |
Pages |
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ISSN |
2397-3722 |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
833 |
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Author |
Misra, V.; Selman, C.; Waite, A. J.; Bastola, S.; Mishra, A. |
Title |
Terrestrial and Ocean Climate of the 20th Century |
Type |
$loc['typeBook Chapter'] |
Year |
2017 |
Publication |
Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
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Issue |
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Pages |
485-509 |
Keywords |
Seasonal cycle; Diurnal variations; Sea breeze; ENSO; Tropical cyclones; Hurricanes; AWP; AMO; PDO; PIZA |
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Florida Climate Institute |
Place of Publication |
Gainesville, FL |
Editor |
Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J. |
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$loc['no'] |
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COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
849 |
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Author |
Misra, V; Bhardwaj, A; Mishra, A |
Title |
Characterizing the rainy season of Peninsular Florida |
Type |
$loc['typeJournal Article'] |
Year |
2018 |
Publication |
Climate Dynamics |
Abbreviated Journal |
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Volume |
51 |
Issue |
5-6 |
Pages |
2157-2167 |
Keywords |
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Abstract |
Peninsular Florida (PF) has a very distinct wet season that can be objectively defined with onset and demise dates based on daily rainfall. The dramatic onset of rains and its retreat coincides with the seasonal cycle of the regional scale atmospheric and upper ocean circulations and upper ocean heat content of the immediate surrounding ocean. The gradual warming of the Intra-Americas Seas (IAS; includes Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea and parts of northwestern subtropical Atlantic Ocean) with the seasonal evolution of the Loop Current and increased atmospheric heat flux in to the ocean eventually enhance the moisture flux into terrestrial PF around the time of the onset of the Rainy Season of PF (RSPF). Similarly, the RSPF retreats with the cooling of the IAS that coincides with the weakening of the Loop Current and reduction of the upper ocean heat content of the IAS. It is also shown that anomalous onset and demise dates of the RSPF have implications on its seasonal rainfall anomalies. |
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$loc['no'] |
Call Number |
COAPS @ mfield @ |
Serial |
556 |
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