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Maloney, E.D.; Gettelman, A.; Ming, Y.; Neelin, J.D.; Barrie, D.; Mariotti, A.; Chen, C.-C.; Coleman, D.R.B.; Kuo, Y.-H.; Singh, B.; Annamalai, H.; Berg, A.; Booth, J.F.; Camargo, S.J.; Dai, A.; Gonzalez, A.; Hafner, J.; Jiang, X.; Jing, X.; Kim, D.; Kumar, A.; Moon, Y.; Naud, C.M.; Sobel, A.H.; Suzuki, K.; Wang, F.; Wang, J.; Wing, A.A.; Xu, X.; Zhao, M. | ||||
| Title | Process-Oriented Evaluation of Climate and Weather Forecasting Models | Type | $loc['typeJournal Article'] | ||
| Year | 2019 | Publication | Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society | Abbreviated Journal | Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. |
| Volume | 100 | Issue | 9 | Pages | 1665-1686 |
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| Abstract | Realistic climate and weather prediction models are necessary to produce confidence in projections of future climate over many decades and predictions for days to seasons. These models must be physically justified and validated for multiple weather and climate processes. A key opportunity to accelerate model improvement is greater incorporation of process-oriented diagnostics (PODs) into standard packages that can be applied during the model development process, allowing the application of diagnostics to be repeatable across multiple model versions and used as a benchmark for model improvement. A POD characterizes a specific physical process or emergent behavior that is related to the ability to simulate an observed phenomenon. This paper describes the outcomes of activities by the Model Diagnostics Task Force (MDTF) under the NOAA Climate Program Office (CPO) Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) program to promote development of PODs and their application to climate and weather prediction models. MDTF and modeling center perspectives on the need for expanded process-oriented diagnosis of models are presented. Multiple PODs developed by the MDTF are summarized, and an open-source software framework developed by the MDTF to aid application of PODs to centers' model development is presented in the context of other relevant community activities. The paper closes by discussing paths forward for the MDTF effort and for community process-oriented diagnosis. | ||||
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| ISSN | 0003-0007 | ISBN | Medium | ||
| Area | Expedition | Conference | |||
| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ user @ | Serial | 1088 | ||
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| Author |
Manghnani, V. | ||||
| Title | Numerical simulation of seasonal and interannual Indian Ocean upper layer circulation using Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean Model | Type | $loc['typeJournal Article'] | ||
| Year | 2003 | Publication | Journal of Geophysical Research | Abbreviated Journal | J. Geophys. Res. |
| Volume | 108 | Issue | C7 | Pages | |
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| Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
| ISSN | 0148-0227 | ISBN | Medium | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 478 | ||
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| Author |
Manghnani, V.; Morrison, J.M.; Xie, L.; Subrahmanyam, B. | ||||
| Title | Heat transports in the Indian Ocean estimated from TOPEX/POSEIDON altimetry and model simulations | Type | $loc['typeJournal Article'] | ||
| Year | 2002 | Publication | Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography | Abbreviated Journal | Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography |
| Volume | 49 | Issue | 7-8 | Pages | 1459-1480 |
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| ISSN | 0967-0645 | ISBN | Medium | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 832 | ||
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| Author |
Marengo, J.A.; Liebmann, B.; Grimm, A.M.; Misra, V.; Silva Dias, P.L.; Cavalcanti, I.F.A.; Carvalho, L.M.V.; Berbery, E.H.; Ambrizzi, T.; Vera, C.S.; Saulo, A.C.; Nogues-Paegle, J.; Zipser, E.; Seth, A.; Alves, L.M. | ||||
| Title | Recent developments on the South American monsoon system | Type | $loc['typeJournal Article'] | ||
| Year | 2012 | Publication | International Journal of Climatology | Abbreviated Journal | Int. J. Climatol. |
| Volume | 32 | Issue | 1 | Pages | 1-21 |
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| ISSN | 0899-8418 | ISBN | Medium | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 263 | ||
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| Author |
Mariani, P.; MacKenzie, B.R.; Iudicone, D.; Bozec, A. | ||||
| Title | Modelling retention and dispersion mechanisms of bluefin tuna eggs and larvae in the northwest Mediterranean Sea | Type | $loc['typeConference Article'] | ||
| Year | 2010 | Publication | Progress in Oceanography | Abbreviated Journal | Progress in Oceanography |
| Volume | 86 | Issue | 1-2 | Pages | 45-58 |
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| ISSN | 0079-6611 | ISBN | Medium | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 353 | ||
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| Author |
Mariner, V. A. | ||||
| Title | El Nino; Facts, Figures, Images and Predictions | Type | $loc['typeMagazine Article'] | ||
| Year | 1998 | Publication | College & Research Libraries News | Abbreviated Journal | |
| Volume | 59 | Issue | 9 | Pages | 663-667 |
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 747 | ||
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| Author |
Mask, A. | ||||
| Title | An open boundary condition for layer to level ocean model interaction | Type | $loc['typeManuscript'] | ||
| Year | 2002 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
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| Address | Department of Oceanography | ||||
| Corporate Author | Thesis | $loc['Ph.D. thesis'] | |||
| Publisher | Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 595 | ||
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| Author |
Mask, A. C. | ||||
| Title | Wind driven effects on the yellow sea warm current | Type | $loc['typeManuscript'] | ||
| Year | 1996 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
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| Address | Department of Oceanography | ||||
| Corporate Author | Thesis | $loc['Master's thesis'] | |||
| Publisher | Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 651 | ||
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| Author |
Mask, A.C.; O'Brien, J.J.; Preller, R. | ||||
| Title | Wind-driven effects on the Yellow Sea Warm Current | Type | $loc['typeJournal Article'] | ||
| Year | 1998 | Publication | Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans | Abbreviated Journal | J. Geophys. Res. |
| Volume | 103 | Issue | C13 | Pages | 30713-30729 |
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| Series Volume | Series Issue | Edition | |||
| ISSN | 0148-0227 | ISBN | Medium | ||
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 770 | ||
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| Author |
Maue, R | ||||
| Title | Warm Seclusion Extratropical Cyclones | Type | $loc['typeManuscript'] | ||
| Year | 2010 | Publication | Abbreviated Journal | ||
| Volume | Issue | Pages | |||
| Keywords | Tropical Cyclone, Extratropical Cyclone, Climatology, Warm Seclusion | ||||
| Abstract | The warm seclusion or mature stage of the extratropical cyclone lifecycle often has structural characteristics reminiscent of major tropical cyclones including eye-like moats of calm air at the barotropic warm-core center surrounded by hurricane force winds along the bent-back warm front. Many extratropical cyclones experience periods of explosive intensification or deepening (bomb) as a result of nonlinear dynamical feedbacks associated with latent heat release. Considerable dynamical structure changes occur during short time periods of several hours in which lower stratospheric and upper-tropospheric origin potential vorticity combines with ephemeral lower-tropospheric, diabatically generated potential vorticity to form a coherent, upright tower circulation. At the center, anomalously warm and moist air relative to the surrounding environment is secluded and may exist for days into the future. Even with the considerable body of research conducted during the last century, many questions remain concerning the warm seclusion process. The focus of this work is on the diagnosis, climatology, and synoptic-dynamic development of the warm seclusion and surrounding flank of intense winds. To develop a climatology of warm seclusion and explosive extratropical cyclones, current long-period reanalysis datasets are utilized along with storm tracking procedures and cyclone phase space diagnostics. Limitations of the reanalysis products are discussed with special focus on tropical cyclone diagnosis and the recent dramatic decrease in global accumulated tropical cyclone energy. A large selection of case studies is simulated with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale model using full-physics and “fake dry” adiabatic runs in order to capture the very fast warm seclusion development. Results are presented concerning the critical role of latent heat release and the combination of advective and diabatically generated potential vorticity in the generation of the coherent tower circulation characteristic of the warm seclusion. To motivate future research, issues related to predictability are discussed with focus on medium-range forecasts of varying extratropical cyclone lifecycles. Additional work is presented relating tropical cyclones and large-scale climate variability with special emphasis on the abrupt and dramatic decline in recent global tropical cyclone accumulated cyclone energy. | ||||
| Address | Department of Meteorology | ||||
| Corporate Author | Thesis | $loc['Ph.D. thesis'] | |||
| Publisher | Florida State University | Place of Publication | Tallahassee, FL | Editor | |
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| Funding | Approved | $loc['no'] | |||
| Call Number | COAPS @ mfield @ | Serial | 570 | ||
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