GSM Seasonal Forecasts

 Global Seasonal Mean Anomalies

(Click on an X to view plots)
 Forecast Start Date Dec 2009 Jan 2010 Feb 2010 Mar 2010 Apr 2010 May 2010 Jun 2010 Jul 2010 Aug 2010 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Nov 2010
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
Precipitation X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X
500hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X
Wind Speed at 10m X X X X X X X X X X X X
Sensible Heat Flux X X X X X X X X X X X X
Latent Heat Flux X X X X X X X X X X X X


Pacific-North America Seasonal Mean Anomalies

(Click on an X to view plots)
 Forecast Start Date Dec 2009 Jan 2010 Feb 2010 Mar 2010 Apr 2010 May 2010 Jun 2010 Jul 2010 Aug 2010 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Nov 2010
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
Precipitation X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X
500hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X
Wind Speed at 10m X X X X X X X X X X X X
Sensible Heat Flux X X X X X X X X X X X X
Latent Heat Flux X X X X X X X X X X X X


Spread of the 10 Ensemble Members (30S-30N)

(Showing the result of each ensemble member run averaged from 30S to 30N)

 Forecast Start Date Dec 2009 Jan 2010 Feb 2010 Mar 2010 Apr 2010 May 2010 Jun 2010 Jul 2010 Aug 2010 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Nov 2010
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
10m Zonal Wind X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X


Spread of the 10 Ensemble Members (30N-60N)

(Showing the result of each ensemble member run averaged from 30N to 60N)

 Forecast Start Date Dec 2009 Jan 2010 Feb 2010 Mar 2010 Apr 2010 May 2010 Jun 2010 Jul 2010 Aug 2010 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Nov 2010
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
10m Zonal Wind X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X


Standard Deviation of the 10 Ensemble Members

(with the total field overlayed)

 Forecast Start Date Dec 2009 Jan 2010 Feb 2010 Mar 2010 Apr 2010 May 2010 Jun 2010 Jul 2010 Aug 2010 Sep 2010 Oct 2010 Nov 2010
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X X X X
10m Zonal Wind X X X X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X X X X


Consistency Plots

(Showing 4 forecasts for a given season)

 Forecast Start Dates Dec 09 - Mar 10 Jan 10 - Apr 10 Feb 10 - May 10 Mar 10 - Jun 10 Apr 10 - Jul 10 May 10 - Aug 10 Jun 10 - Sep 10 Jul 10 - Oct 10 Aug 10 - Nov 10
Temp at 2m X X X X X X X X X
Precipitation X X X X X X X X X
200hPa Height X X X X X X X X X
SST NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA

 

 


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