Records
Author
Brolley, J. M.
Title
Effects of ENSO, NAO (PVO), and PDO on Monthly Extreme Temperatures and Precipitation
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2007
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
NAO, PDO, ENSO, Climate Variability, Extremes, Stochastic
Abstract
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the Polar Vortex Oscillation (PVO) produce conditions favorable for monthly extreme temperatures and precipitation. These climate modes produce upper-level teleconnection patterns that favor regional droughts, floods, heat waves, and cold spells, and these extremes impact agriculture, energy, forestry, and transportation. The above sectors prefer the knowledge of the worst (and sometimes the best) case scenarios. This study examines the extreme scenarios for each phase and the combination of phases that produce the greatest monthly extremes. Data from Canada, Mexico, and the United States are gathered from the Historical Climatology Network (HCN). Monthly data are simulated by the utilization of a Monte Carlo model. This Monte Carlo method simulates monthly data by the stochastic selection of daily data with identical ENSO, PDO, and PVO (NAO) characteristics. In order to test the quality of the Monte Carlo simulation, the simulations are compared with the observations using only PDO and PVO. It has been found that temperatures and precipitation in the simulation are similar to the model. Statistics tests have favored similarities between simulations and observations in most cases. Daily data are selected in blocks of four to eight days in order to conserve temporal correlation. Because the polar vortex occurs only during the cold season, the PVO is used during January, and the NAO is used during other months. The simulated data are arranged, and the tenth and ninetieth percentiles are analyzed. The magnitudes of temperature and precipitation anomalies are the greatest in the western Canada and the southeastern United States during winter, and these anomalies are located near the Pacific North American (PNA) extrema. Western Canada has its coldest (warmest) Januaries when the PDO and PVO are low (high). The southeastern United States has its coldest Januaries with high PDO and low PVO and warmest Januaries with low PDO and high PVO. Although extremes occur during El Nino or La Nina, many stations have the highest or lowest temperatures during neutral ENSO. In California and the Gulf Coast, the driest (wettest) Januaries tend to occur during low (high) PDO, and the reverse occurs in Tennessee, Kentucky, Ohio, and Indiana. Summertime anomalies, on the other hand, are weak because temperature variance is low. Phase combinations that form the wettest (driest) Julies form spatially incoherent patterns. The magnitudes of the temperature and precipitation anomalies and the corresponding phase combinations vary regionally and seasonally. Composite maps of geopotential heights across North America are plot for low, median, and high temperatures at six selected sites and for low, median, and high precipitation at the same sites. The greatest fluctuations occur near the six sites and over some of the loci of the PNA pattern. Geopotential heights tend to decrease (increase) over the target stations during the cold (warm) cases, and the results for precipitation are variable.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Ph.D. thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
587
Permanent link to this record
Author
Bunge, L. ; Clarke, A.J.
Title
On the Warm Water Volume and Its Changing Relationship with ENSO
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2014
Publication
Journal of Physical Oceanography
Abbreviated Journal
J. Phys. Oceanogr.
Volume
44
Issue
5
Pages
1372-1385
Keywords
Physical Meteorology and Climatology ; Climate variability ; ENSO ; Observational techniques and algorithms ; Climate records ; Variability ; Decadal variability ; Interannual variability
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0022-3670
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
156
Permanent link to this record
Author
Cammarano, D. ; Stefanova, L. ; Ortiz, B.V. ; Ramirez-Rodrigues, M. ; Asseng, S. ; Misra, V. ; Wilkerson, G. ; Basso, B. ; Jones, J.W. ; Boote, K.J. ; DiNapoli, S.
Title
Evaluating the fidelity of downscaled climate data on simulated wheat and maize production in the southeastern US
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2013
Publication
Regional Environmental Change
Abbreviated Journal
Reg Environ Change
Volume
13
Issue
S1
Pages
101-110
Keywords
Crop simulation models ; Climate variability ; Global circulation models ; Reanalysis ; Wheat ; Maize
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1436-3798
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
187
Permanent link to this record
Author
Danabasoglu, G. ; Yeager, S.G. ; Kim, W.M. ; Behrens, E. ; Bentsen, M. ; Bi, D. ; Biastoch, A. ; Bleck, R. ; Böning, C. ; Bozec, A. ; Canuto, V.M. ; Cassou, C. ; Chassignet, E. ; Coward, A.C. ; Danilov, S. ; Diansky, N. ; Drange, H. ; Farneti, R. ; Fernandez, E. ; Fogli, P.G. ; Forget, G. ; Fujii, Y. ; Griffies, S.M. ; Gusev, A. ; Heimbach, P. ; Howard, A. ; Ilicak, M. ; Jung, T. ; Karspeck, A.R. ; Kelley, M. ; Large, W.G. ; Leboissetier, A. ; Lu, J. ; Madec, G. ; Marsland, S.J. ; Masina, S. ; Navarra, A. ; Nurser, A.J.G. ; Pirani, A. ; Romanou, A. ; Salas y Mélia, D. ; Samuels, B.L. ; Scheinert, M. ; Sidorenko, D. ; Sun, S. ; Treguier, A.-M. ; Tsujino, H. ; Uotila, P. ; Valcke, S. ; Voldoire, A. ; Wang, Q. ; Yashayaev, I.
Title
North Atlantic simulations in Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments phase II (CORE-II). Part II: Inter-annual to decadal variability
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2016
Publication
Ocean Modelling
Abbreviated Journal
Ocean Modelling
Volume
97
Issue
Pages
65-90
Keywords
Global ocean – sea-ice modelling ; Ocean model comparisons ; Atmospheric forcing ; Inter-annual to decadal variability and mechanisms ; Atlantic meridional overturning circulation variability ; Variability in the North Atlantic
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1463-5003
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
34
Permanent link to this record
Author
Deng, J. ; Wu, Z. ; Zhang, M. ; Huang, N.E. ; Wang, S. ; Qiao, F.
Title
Using Holo-Hilbert spectral analysis to quantify the modulation of Dansgaard-Oeschger events by obliquity
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
Quaternary Science Reviews
Abbreviated Journal
Quaternary Science Reviews
Volume
192
Issue
Pages
282-299
Keywords
Pleistocene ; Paleoclimatology ; Greenland ; Antarctica ; Data treatment ; Data analysis ; Dansgaard-oeschger (DO) events ; Obliquity forcing ; Phase preference ; Holo-hilbert spectral analysis ; Amplitude modulation ; EMPIRICAL MODE DECOMPOSITION ; GREENLAND ICE-CORE ; NONSTATIONARY TIME-SERIES ; ABRUPT CLIMATE-CHANGE ; LAST GLACIAL PERIOD ; NORTH-ATLANTIC ; MILLENNIAL-SCALE ; RECORDS ; VARIABILITY ; CYCLE
Abstract
Astronomical forcing (obliquity and precession) has been thought to modulate Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events, yet the detailed quantification of such modulations has not been examined. In this study, we apply the novel Holo-Hilbert Spectral Analysis (HHSA) to five polar ice core records, quantifying astronomical forcing's time-varying amplitude modulation of DO events and identifying the preferred obliquity phases for large amplitude modulations. The unique advantages of HHSA over the widely used windowed Fourier spectral analysis for quantifying astronomical forcing's nonlinear modulations of DO events is first demonstrated with a synthetic data that closely resembles DO events recorded in Greenland ice cores (NGRIP, GRIP, and GISP2 cores on GICC05 modelext timescale). The analysis of paleoclimatic proxies show that statistically significantly more frequent DO events, with larger amplitude modulation in the Greenland region, tend to occur in the decreasing phase of obliquity, especially from its mean value to its minimum value. In the eastern Antarctic, although statistically significantly more DO events tend to occur in the decreasing obliquity phase in general, the preferred phase of obliquity for large amplitude modulation on DO events is a segment of the increasing phase near the maximum obliquity, implying that the physical mechanisms of DO events may be different for the two polar regions. Additionally, by using cross-spectrum and magnitude-squared analyses, Greenland DO mode at a timescale of about 1400 years leads the Antarctic DO mode at the same timescale by about 1000 years. (C) 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0277-3791
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
971
Permanent link to this record
Author
Fraisse, C.W. ; Breuer, N.E. ; Zierden, D. ; Bellow, J.G. ; Paz, J. ; Cabrera, V.E. ; Garcia y Garcia, A. ; Ingram, K.T. ; Hatch, U. ; Hoogenboom, G. ; Jones, J.W. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
AgClimate: A climate forecast information system for agricultural risk management in the southeastern USA
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2006
Publication
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Abbreviated Journal
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Volume
53
Issue
1
Pages
13-27
Keywords
crop models climate variability ; decision making ; ENSO ; El Nino ; extension
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0168-1699
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
434
Permanent link to this record
Author
Fu, C.B. ; Qian, C. ; Wu, Z.H.
Title
Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2011
Publication
Science China Earth Sciences
Abbreviated Journal
Sci. China Earth Sci.
Volume
54
Issue
9
Pages
1400-1406
Keywords
decadal prediction ; global warming ; multi-decadal climate variability ; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ; CMIP3 multi-model
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1674-7313
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
293
Permanent link to this record
Author
Gilford, D.M. ; Smith, S.R. ; Griffin, M.L. ; Arguez, A.
Title
Southeastern U.S. Daily Temperature Ranges Associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2013
Publication
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Abbreviated Journal
J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol.
Volume
52
Issue
11
Pages
2434-2449
Keywords
Climate variability ; Climatology ; ENSO ; Surface temperature ; Climate records
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1558-8424
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
180
Permanent link to this record
Author
Hughes, P. J.
Title
North Atlantic Decadal Variability of Ocean Surface Fluxes
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2006
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Decadal, North Atlantic, Sensible Heat Flux, Latent Heat Flux, Variability
Abstract
The spatial and temporal variability of the surface turbulent heat fluxes over the North Atlantic is examined using the new objectively produced FSU3 monthly mean 1°x1° gridded wind and surface flux product for 1978-2003. The FSU3 product is constructed from in situ ship and buoy observations via a variational technique. A cost function based on weighted constraints is minimized in the process of determining the surface fluxes. The analysis focuses on a low frequency (basin wide) mode of variability where the latent and sensible heat flux anomalies transition from mainly positive to negative values around 1998. It is hypothesized that the longer time scale variability is linked to changes in the large scale circulation patterns possibly associated with the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO; Schlesinger and Ramankutty 1994, Kerr 2000). The changes in the surface heat fluxes are forced by fluctuations in the mean wind speed. Zonal averages show a clear dissimilarity between the turbulent heat fluxes and wind speed for 1982-1997 and 1998-2003 over the region extending from the equator to roughly 40°N. Larger values are associated with the earlier time period, coinciding with a cool phase of the AMO. The separation between the two time periods is much less evident for the humidity and air/sea temperature differences. The largest differences in the latent heat fluxes, between the two time periods, occur over the tropical, Gulf Stream, and higher latitude regions of the North Atlantic, with magnitudes exceeding 15 Wm-2. The largest sensible heat flux differences are limited to areas along the New England coast and poleward of 40°N.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
NOAA, NSF
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
617
Permanent link to this record
Author
Krishnamurthy, V. ; Misra, V.
Title
Observed ENSO teleconnections with the South American monsoon system
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2010
Publication
Atmospheric Science Letters
Abbreviated Journal
Atmos. Sci. Lett.
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
ENSO ; South America ; monsoon variability ; sea surface temperature
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1530261X
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
351
Permanent link to this record