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Author
Bourassa, M. A. ; Smith, S. R.
Title
Uncertainties in monthly wind fields
Type
$loc['typeReport']
Year
2006
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Climate Observation Program 4th Annual System Review, NOAA, Silver Spring, MD, USA
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
NOAA, NSF
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
935
Permanent link to this record
Author
Bourassa, M. A. ; Smith, S. R. ; Hughes, P. ; Rolph, J.
Title
Atlantic monthly air-sea fluxes and the 2005 hurricanes
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2006
Publication
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
87 (State of the Climate in 2005)
Issue
Pages
535
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
NOAA, OCO, NSF
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
937
Permanent link to this record
Author
Briggs, K.
Title
ENSO Event Reproduction: A Comparison of an EOF vs. A Cyclostationary (CSEOF) Approach
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2006
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
EOF, Autoregression, Wind Stress, Sea Level Height, SST, ENSO, Regression, CSEOF, Cyclostationary
Abstract
In past studies, El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events have been linked to devastating weather extremes. Climate modeling of ENSO is often dependent on limited records of the pertinent physical variables, thus longer records of these variables is desirable. Noisy signals, such as monthly sea surface temperature, are good candidates for reproduction by several existing auto-regression techniques. Through auto-regression, influential principal component modes are broken down into a series of time points that are each dependent upon an optimal weighting of the surrounding points. Using these unique numerical relationships, a noisy signal can be reproduced by thus processing the leading modes and adding an artificial record of properly distributed noise. Statistical measures of important ENSO regions suggest that the nature of oceanic and atmospheric anomalous events is cyclic with respect to certain timescales; for example, the monthly timescale. To detect ENSO signals in the presence of a varying background noise field, the detection method should take into account the signal's strong phase-locking with this nested variation. Cyclostationary Emperical Orthogonal Functions (CSEOFs) are built upon the idea of nested cycles, unlike traditional EOFs, which incorporate a design that is better detailed for stationary processes. In this study, both EOF and CSEOF modes of a 50-year Pacific SST record are processed using an auto-regression technique, and several sets of artificial SST records are constructed. Appropriate statistical indices are applied to these artificial time series to ensure an acceptable consistency with the real record, and then artificial data is produced using the artificial time series. In all cases, the cyclostationary approach produces more realistic warm ENSO events with respect to timing, strength, and other traits than does the stationary approach. However, both methods produce only a fair representation of cold events, suggesting that further study is necessary for improvement of La Niña modeling. Shorter records of variables such as sea level height and Pacific wind stress anomalies can hinder the usefulness of auto-regression, owing to time point dependence on surrounding points. Using a regression technique to find an evolutionary consistency (i.e. physically consistent patterns) between one of these variables and a variable with a longer record (such as SST) can eliminate this problem. Once a regression relationship is found between two variables, the variable with the shorter record can be re-written to match the time evolution of the variable with the longer record. Here regression, both EOF and CSEOF, is performed on both sea surface temperature and sea level height (a 20-year record), and sea surface temperature and wind stress (a 39-year record). Once the regression relationships are found, artificial SST time series are incorporated in place of the original time series to produce several artificial 50-year SLH and wind stress data sets. 5 Pacific regions are chosen, and statistics and behavior of the artificial sets within these regions are compared to those of the original data. Once again the cyclostationary approach fares better than the stationary. In particular the EOF assumption of cross correlational symmetry fails to capture the direction-dependence of ENSO evolution, causing inconsistent ENSO behavior. This renders an EOF method insufficient for climate modeling and prediction, and implies that a better aim is to incorporate physical cyclic features via a cyclostationary method.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
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Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
614
Permanent link to this record
Author
Culin, J. C.
Title
Wintertime ENSO Variability in Wind Direction Across the Southeast United States
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2006
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Wind Roses, Southeast United States, Surface Wind Direction, ENSO, NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis
Abstract
Changes in wind direction in association with the phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) are identified over the Southeast region of the United States during the winter season (December-February). Wind roses, which depict the percentage of time the wind comes from each direction and can graphically identify the prevailing wind, are computed according to a 12-point compass for 24 stations in the region. Unfolding the wind rose into a 12-bin histogram visually demonstrates the peak frequencies in wind direction during each of the three (warm, cold and neutral) phases of ENSO. Normalized values represent the number of occurrences (counts) per month per ENSO phase, and comparison using percent changes illustrates the differences between phases. Based on similarities in wind direction characteristics, regional topography and results from a formal statistical test, stations are grouped into five geographic regions, with a representative station used to describe conditions in that region. Locations in South Florida show significant differences in the frequencies in wind direction from easterly directions during the cold phase and northerly directions during the warm phase. North Florida stations display cold phase southerly directions, and westerly and northerly directions during the warm phase, both of which are significant for much of the winter. Coastal Atlantic stations reveal winds from westerly directions for both phases. The Piedmont region demonstrates large variability in wind direction due to the influence from the Appalachian Mountains, but generally identifies warm phase and cold phase winds with more zonal influences rather than just from south or north. The Mountainous region also indicates southerly cold phase winds and northerly warm phase winds, but also reveals less of an influence from ENSO or significantly different distributions. Comparisons between observed patterns and those obtained using the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis data reveal how the model-derived observations resolve the ENSO influence on surface wind direction at selected locations. Overall, resolution of the strength of the signals is not achieved, though the depiction of the general pattern is fair at two of the three locations. Connections between the synoptic flow and surface wind direction are examined via relationships to the storm track associated with the 250 hPa jet stream and sea level pressure patterns during each extreme ENSO phase. Discussion of reasons the NCEP reanalysis illustrates surface wind direction patterns different from those derived from observations is included.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
615
Permanent link to this record
Author
Dukhovskoy, D. S. ; Morey, S. L. ; O'Brien, J. J.
Title
Baroclinic topographic waves on the Nicaragua Shelf generated by tropical cyclones
Type
$loc['typeReport']
Year
2006
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
World Meteorological Organization
Place of Publication
Geneva, Switzerland
Editor
Cote, J.
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Research Activities in Atmospheric and Ocean Modeling, Report No. 36
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
ONR, NASA
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
924
Permanent link to this record
Author
Dukhovskoy, D. ; Johnson, M. ; Proshutinsky, A.
Title
Arctic decadal variability from an idealized atmosphere-ice-ocean model: 2. Simulation of decadal oscillations
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2006
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res.
Volume
111
Issue
C6
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0148-0227
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
436
Permanent link to this record
Author
Dukhovskoy, D. ; Johnson, M. ; Proshutinsky, A.
Title
Arctic decadal variability from an idealized atmosphere-ice-ocean model: 1. Model description, calibration, and validation
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2006
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res.
Volume
111
Issue
C6
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0148-0227
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
NSF
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
437
Permanent link to this record
Author
Dukhovskoy, D.S. ; Morey, S.L. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
Influence of multi-step topography on barotropic waves and consequences for numerical modeling
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2006
Publication
Ocean Modelling
Abbreviated Journal
Ocean Modelling
Volume
14
Issue
1-2
Pages
45-60
Keywords
numerical models ; ocean mathematical models ; topographic waves ; double Kelvin waves ; continental shelves ; shelf waves
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1463-5003
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
ONR, NASA
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
443
Permanent link to this record
Author
Fraisse, C.W. ; Breuer, N.E. ; Zierden, D. ; Bellow, J.G. ; Paz, J. ; Cabrera, V.E. ; Garcia y Garcia, A. ; Ingram, K.T. ; Hatch, U. ; Hoogenboom, G. ; Jones, J.W. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
AgClimate: A climate forecast information system for agricultural risk management in the southeastern USA
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2006
Publication
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Abbreviated Journal
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Volume
53
Issue
1
Pages
13-27
Keywords
crop models climate variability ; decision making ; ENSO ; El Nino ; extension
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0168-1699
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
434
Permanent link to this record
Author
Goto, Y. ; Shin, D. W. ; O'Brien, J. J.
Title
Sensitivity of leaf area index in Florida to temperature simulation by FSURSM
Type
$loc['typeReport']
Year
2006
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
5-21
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Research Activities in Atmospheric and Ocean Modeling, CAS/JSC Working Group on Numerical Experimentation
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
930
Permanent link to this record