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Author
Maloney, E.D. ; Gettelman, A. ; Ming, Y. ; Neelin, J.D. ; Barrie, D. ; Mariotti, A. ; Chen, C.-C. ; Coleman, D.R.B. ; Kuo, Y.-H. ; Singh, B. ; Annamalai, H. ; Berg, A. ; Booth, J.F. ; Camargo, S.J. ; Dai, A. ; Gonzalez, A. ; Hafner, J. ; Jiang, X. ; Jing, X. ; Kim, D. ; Kumar, A. ; Moon, Y. ; Naud, C.M. ; Sobel, A.H. ; Suzuki, K. ; Wang, F. ; Wang, J. ; Wing, A.A. ; Xu, X. ; Zhao, M.
Title
Process-Oriented Evaluation of Climate and Weather Forecasting Models
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Abbreviated Journal
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Volume
100
Issue
9
Pages
1665-1686
Keywords
Abstract
Realistic climate and weather prediction models are necessary to produce confidence in projections of future climate over many decades and predictions for days to seasons. These models must be physically justified and validated for multiple weather and climate processes. A key opportunity to accelerate model improvement is greater incorporation of process-oriented diagnostics (PODs) into standard packages that can be applied during the model development process, allowing the application of diagnostics to be repeatable across multiple model versions and used as a benchmark for model improvement. A POD characterizes a specific physical process or emergent behavior that is related to the ability to simulate an observed phenomenon. This paper describes the outcomes of activities by the Model Diagnostics Task Force (MDTF) under the NOAA Climate Program Office (CPO) Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) program to promote development of PODs and their application to climate and weather prediction models. MDTF and modeling center perspectives on the need for expanded process-oriented diagnosis of models are presented. Multiple PODs developed by the MDTF are summarized, and an open-source software framework developed by the MDTF to aid application of PODs to centers' model development is presented in the context of other relevant community activities. The paper closes by discussing paths forward for the MDTF effort and for community process-oriented diagnosis.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0003-0007
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1088
Permanent link to this record
Author
Manghnani, V.
Title
Numerical simulation of seasonal and interannual Indian Ocean upper layer circulation using Miami Isopycnic Coordinate Ocean Model
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2003
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res.
Volume
108
Issue
C7
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0148-0227
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
478
Permanent link to this record
Author
Manghnani, V. ; Morrison, J.M. ; Xie, L. ; Subrahmanyam, B.
Title
Heat transports in the Indian Ocean estimated from TOPEX/POSEIDON altimetry and model simulations
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2002
Publication
Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography
Abbreviated Journal
Deep Sea Research Part II: Topical Studies in Oceanography
Volume
49
Issue
7-8
Pages
1459-1480
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0967-0645
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
832
Permanent link to this record
Author
Marengo, J.A. ; Liebmann, B. ; Grimm, A.M. ; Misra, V. ; Silva Dias, P.L. ; Cavalcanti, I.F.A. ; Carvalho, L.M.V. ; Berbery, E.H. ; Ambrizzi, T. ; Vera, C.S. ; Saulo, A.C. ; Nogues-Paegle, J. ; Zipser, E. ; Seth, A. ; Alves, L.M.
Title
Recent developments on the South American monsoon system
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2012
Publication
International Journal of Climatology
Abbreviated Journal
Int. J. Climatol.
Volume
32
Issue
1
Pages
1-21
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0899-8418
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
263
Permanent link to this record
Author
Mariani, P. ; MacKenzie, B.R. ; Iudicone, D. ; Bozec, A.
Title
Modelling retention and dispersion mechanisms of bluefin tuna eggs and larvae in the northwest Mediterranean Sea
Type
$loc['typeConference Article']
Year
2010
Publication
Progress in Oceanography
Abbreviated Journal
Progress in Oceanography
Volume
86
Issue
1-2
Pages
45-58
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0079-6611
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
353
Permanent link to this record
Author
Mariner, V. A.
Title
El Nino; Facts, Figures, Images and Predictions
Type
$loc['typeMagazine Article']
Year
1998
Publication
College & Research Libraries News
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
59
Issue
9
Pages
663-667
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
747
Permanent link to this record
Author
Mask, A.
Title
An open boundary condition for layer to level ocean model interaction
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2002
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Department of Oceanography
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Ph.D. thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
595
Permanent link to this record
Author
Mask, A. C.
Title
Wind driven effects on the yellow sea warm current
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
1996
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Department of Oceanography
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
651
Permanent link to this record
Author
Mask, A.C. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Preller, R.
Title
Wind-driven effects on the Yellow Sea Warm Current
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
1998
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res.
Volume
103
Issue
C13
Pages
30713-30729
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0148-0227
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
770
Permanent link to this record
Author
Maue, R
Title
Warm Seclusion Extratropical Cyclones
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2010
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Tropical Cyclone, Extratropical Cyclone, Climatology, Warm Seclusion
Abstract
The warm seclusion or mature stage of the extratropical cyclone lifecycle often has structural characteristics reminiscent of major tropical cyclones including eye-like moats of calm air at the barotropic warm-core center surrounded by hurricane force winds along the bent-back warm front. Many extratropical cyclones experience periods of explosive intensification or deepening (bomb) as a result of nonlinear dynamical feedbacks associated with latent heat release. Considerable dynamical structure changes occur during short time periods of several hours in which lower stratospheric and upper-tropospheric origin potential vorticity combines with ephemeral lower-tropospheric, diabatically generated potential vorticity to form a coherent, upright tower circulation. At the center, anomalously warm and moist air relative to the surrounding environment is secluded and may exist for days into the future. Even with the considerable body of research conducted during the last century, many questions remain concerning the warm seclusion process. The focus of this work is on the diagnosis, climatology, and synoptic-dynamic development of the warm seclusion and surrounding flank of intense winds. To develop a climatology of warm seclusion and explosive extratropical cyclones, current long-period reanalysis datasets are utilized along with storm tracking procedures and cyclone phase space diagnostics. Limitations of the reanalysis products are discussed with special focus on tropical cyclone diagnosis and the recent dramatic decrease in global accumulated tropical cyclone energy. A large selection of case studies is simulated with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) mesoscale model using full-physics and “fake dry” adiabatic runs in order to capture the very fast warm seclusion development. Results are presented concerning the critical role of latent heat release and the combination of advective and diabatically generated potential vorticity in the generation of the coherent tower circulation characteristic of the warm seclusion. To motivate future research, issues related to predictability are discussed with focus on medium-range forecasts of varying extratropical cyclone lifecycles. Additional work is presented relating tropical cyclones and large-scale climate variability with special emphasis on the abrupt and dramatic decline in recent global tropical cyclone accumulated cyclone energy.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Ph.D. thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
570
Permanent link to this record