Records
Author
Bastola, S. ; Misra, V.
Title
Seasonal hydrological and nutrient loading forecasts for watersheds over the Southeastern United States
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2015
Publication
Environmental Modelling & Software
Abbreviated Journal
Environmental Modelling & Software
Volume
73
Issue
Pages
90-102
Keywords
Rainfall-runoff model ; Seasonal hydrologic forecasting ; Southeastern United States ; Water quality ; Seasonal predictability
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1364-8152
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
95
Permanent link to this record
Author
Conlon, K.C. ; Kintziger, K.W. ; Jagger, M. ; Stefanova, L. ; Uejio, C.K. ; Konrad, C.
Title
Working with Climate Projections to Estimate Disease Burden: Perspectives from Public Health
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2016
Publication
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health
Abbreviated Journal
Int J Environ Res Public Health
Volume
13
Issue
8
Pages
Keywords
*Climate Change/statistics & numerical data ; Florida ; Forecasting ; Humans ; Models, Theoretical ; Public Health/*trends ; United States ; adaptation ; attributable fraction ; climate modeling ; project disease burden ; public health
Abstract
There is interest among agencies and public health practitioners in the United States (USA) to estimate the future burden of climate-related health outcomes. Calculating disease burden projections can be especially daunting, given the complexities of climate modeling and the multiple pathways by which climate influences public health. Interdisciplinary coordination between public health practitioners and climate scientists is necessary for scientifically derived estimates. We describe a unique partnership of state and regional climate scientists and public health practitioners assembled by the Florida Building Resilience Against Climate Effects (BRACE) program. We provide a background on climate modeling and projections that has been developed specifically for public health practitioners, describe methodologies for combining climate and health data to project disease burden, and demonstrate three examples of this process used in Florida.
Address
Department of Geography, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC 27599-3220, USA. konrad@unc.edu
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
English
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1660-4601
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
PMID:27517942; PMCID:PMC4997490
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
73
Permanent link to this record
Author
Devanas, A. ; Stefanova, L.
Title
Statistical Prediction Of Waterspout Probability For The Florida Keys
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
Weather and Forecasting
Abbreviated Journal
Wea. Forecasting
Volume
33
Issue
Pages
389-410
Keywords
Regression analysis ; Forecast verification/skill ; Forecasting techniques ; Probability forecasts/models/distribution ; Statistical forecasting
Abstract
A statistical model of waterspout probability was developed for wet-season (June–September) days over the Florida Keys. An analysis was performed on over 200 separate variables derived from Key West 1200 UTC daily wet-season soundings during the period 2006–14. These variables were separated into two subsets: days on which a waterspout was reported anywhere in the Florida Keys coastal waters and days on which no waterspouts were reported. Days on which waterspouts were reported were determined from the National Weather Service (NWS) Key West local storm reports. The sounding at Key West was used for this analysis since it was assumed to be representative of the atmospheric environment over the area evaluated in this study. The probability of a waterspout report day was modeled using multiple logistic regression with selected predictors obtained from the sounding variables. The final model containing eight separate variables was validated using repeated fivefold cross validation, and its performance was compared to that of an existing waterspout index used as a benchmark. The performance of the model was further validated in forecast mode using an independent verification wet-season dataset from 2015–16 that was not used to define or train the model. The eight-predictor model was found to produce a probability forecast with robust skill relative to climatology and superior to the benchmark waterspout index in both the cross validation and in the independent verification.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0882-8156
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
553
Permanent link to this record
Author
Keclik, A.
Title
The Accuracy of the National Hurricane Center's United States Tropical Cyclone Landfall Forecasts in the Atlantic Basin (2004-2012)
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2014
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
hurricane ; forecasting ; landfall
Abstract
Address
Department of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Science
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Bachelor's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
163
Permanent link to this record
Author
Michael, J.-P.
Title
On Initializing CGCMs for Seasonal Predictability of ENSO
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2014
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
ENSO ; Seasonal Forecasting
Abstract
Address
Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Science
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Ph.D. thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
166
Permanent link to this record
Author
Nielsen, E.R. ; Schumacher, R.S. ; Keclik, A.M.
Title
The Effect of the Balcones Escarpment on Three Cases of Extreme Precipitation in Central Texas
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2016
Publication
Monthly Weather Review
Abbreviated Journal
Mon. Wea. Rev.
Volume
144
Issue
1
Pages
119-138
Keywords
Circulation/ Dynamics ; Orographic effects ; Atm/Ocean Structure/ Phenomena ; Flood events ; Physical Meteorology and Climatology ; Hydrometeorology ; Forecasting ; Ensembles ; Numerical weather prediction/forecasting
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0027-0644
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
102
Permanent link to this record
Author
Shin, D.W.
Title
Short- to medium-range superensemble precipitation forecasts using satellite products: 1. Deterministic forecasting
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2003
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res.
Volume
108
Issue
D8
Pages
Keywords
precipitation forecasting ; superensemble ; TRMM ; ensemble forecasting
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0148-0227
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
845
Permanent link to this record
Author
Shin, D.W.
Title
Short- to medium-range superensemble precipitation forecasts using satellite products: 2. Probabilistic forecasting
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2003
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res.
Volume
108
Issue
D8
Pages
Keywords
precipitation forecasting ; superensemble ; TRMM ; POP ; ensemble forecasting
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0148-0227
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
846
Permanent link to this record
Author
Yatagai, A. ; Krishnamurti, T.N. ; Kumar, V. ; Mishra, A.K. ; Simon, A.
Title
Use of APHRODITE Rain Gauge-Based Precipitation and TRMM 3B43 Products for Improving Asian Monsoon Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts by the Superensemble Method
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2014
Publication
Journal of Climate
Abbreviated Journal
J. Climate
Volume
27
Issue
3
Pages
1062-1069
Keywords
Monsoons ; Precipitation ; Databases ; Superensembles ; Climate prediction ; Statistical forecasting
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0894-8755
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
171
Permanent link to this record