Records
Author
Bastola, S. ; Misra, V. ; Li, H.
Title
Seasonal Hydrological Forecasts for Watersheds over the Southeastern United States for the Boreal Summer and Fall Seasons
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2013
Publication
Earth Interactions
Abbreviated Journal
Earth Interact.
Volume
17
Issue
25
Pages
1-22
Keywords
Seasonal climate forecast ; Ensemble streamflow prediction ; Rainfall–runoff model
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1087-3562
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
207
Permanent link to this record
Author
Cintra, R. ; Campos Velho, H. ; Cocke, S.
Title
Multilayer Perceptron on data assimilation system applied to FSU global model
Type
$loc['typeConference Article']
Year
2016
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
data assimilation ; artificial neural networks ; numerical weather prediction ; inverse problem
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
3rd International Symposium on Uncertainty Quantification and Stochastic Modeling Maresias, Brazil: 15/2/2016 to 19/2/2016
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
88
Permanent link to this record
Author
Engelman, M. B.
Title
A Validation of the FSU/COAPS Climate Model
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2008
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Crop Models, Skill Scores, Seasonal Prediction, Extreme Events
Abstract
This study examines the predictability of the Florida State University/Center for Oceanic and Atmospheric Prediction Studies (FSU/COAPS) climate model, and is motivated by the model's potential use in crop modeling. The study also compares real-time ensemble runs (created using persisted SST anomalies) to hindcast ensemble runs (created using weekly updated SST) to asses the effect of SST anomalies on forecast error. Wintertime (DJF, 2 month lead time) surface temperature and precipitation forecasts over the southeastern United States (Georgia, Alabama, and Florida) are evaluated because of the documented links between tropical Pacific SST anomalies and climate in the southeastern United States during the winter season. The global spectral model (GSM) runs at a T63 resolution and then is dynamically downscaled to a 20 x 20 km grid over the southeastern United States using the FSU regional spectral model (RSM). Seasonal, monthly, and daily events from the October 2004 and 2005 model runs are assessed. Seasonal (DJF) plots of real-time forecasts indicate the model is capable of predicting wintertime maximum and minimum temperatures over the southeastern United States. The October 2004 and 2005 real-time model runs both produce temperature forecasts with anomaly errors below 3°C, correlations close to one, and standard deviations similar to observations. Real-time precipitation forecasts are inconsistent. Error in the percent of normal precipitation vary from greater than 100% in the 2004/2005 forecasts to less than 35% error in the 2005/2006 forecasts. Comparing hindcast runs to real-time runs reveals some skill is lost in precipitation forecasts when using a method of SST anomaly persistence if the SST anomalies in the equatorial Pacific change early in the forecast period, as they did for the October 2004 model runs. Further analysis involving monthly and daily model data as well as Brier scores (BS), relative operating characteristics (ROC), and equitable threat scores (ETS), are also examined to confirm these results.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Master's thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
607
Permanent link to this record
Author
Fu, C.B. ; Qian, C. ; Wu, Z.H.
Title
Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2011
Publication
Science China Earth Sciences
Abbreviated Journal
Sci. China Earth Sci.
Volume
54
Issue
9
Pages
1400-1406
Keywords
decadal prediction ; global warming ; multi-decadal climate variability ; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ; CMIP3 multi-model
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1674-7313
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
293
Permanent link to this record
Author
Goff, J.A. ; Arbic, B.K.
Title
Global prediction of abyssal hill roughness statistics for use in ocean models from digital maps of paleo-spreading rate, paleo-ridge orientation, and sediment thickness
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2010
Publication
Ocean Modelling
Abbreviated Journal
Ocean Modelling
Volume
32
Issue
1-2
Pages
36-43
Keywords
Abyssal hills ; Roughness ; Prediction ; Ocean modeling
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1463-5003
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
345
Permanent link to this record
Author
Hong, S.-Y. ; Park, H. ; Cheong, H.-B. ; Kim, J.-E.E. ; Koo, M.-S. ; Jang, J. ; Ham, S. ; Hwang, S.-O. ; Park, B.-K. ; Chang, E.-C. ; Li, H.
Title
The Global/Regional Integrated Model system (GRIMs)
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2013
Publication
Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences
Abbreviated Journal
Asia-Pacific J Atmos Sci
Volume
49
Issue
2
Pages
219-243
Keywords
Numerical weather prediction ; seasonal prediction ; general circulation model ; regional climate modeling ; physics ; parameterization ; climate modeling ; GRIMs ; WRF
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1976-7633
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
215
Permanent link to this record
Author
Jagtap, S.S. ; Jones, J.W. ; Hildebrand, P. ; Letson, D. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Podestá, G. ; Zierden, D. ; Zazueta, F.
Title
Responding to stakeholder's demands for climate information: from research to applications in Florida
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2002
Publication
Agricultural Systems
Abbreviated Journal
Agricultural Systems
Volume
74
Issue
3
Pages
415-430
Keywords
ENSO ; El Niño ; Climate prediction ; Agricultural decisions ; Research framework
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0308521X
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
824
Permanent link to this record
Author
Kelly, D.L. ; Letson, D. ; Nelson, F. ; Nolan, D.S. ; Solís, D.
Title
Evolution of subjective hurricane risk perceptions: A Bayesian approach
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2012
Publication
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Abbreviated Journal
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Volume
81
Issue
2
Pages
644-663
Keywords
Risk perceptions ; Correlated information ; Bayesian learning ; Event markets ; Prediction markets ; Favorite-longshot bias ; Hurricanes
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0167-2681
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
329
Permanent link to this record
Author
Kirtman, B. P. ; Misra, V. ; Anandhi, A. ; Palko, D. ; Infanti, J.
Title
Future Climate Change Scenarios for Florida
Type
$loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year
2017
Publication
Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
533-555
Keywords
Anthropogenically forced climate change ; Decadal climate prediction ; Climate projection ; Climate scenario ; Mitigation ; Adaptation
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Florida Climate Institute
Place of Publication
Gainesville, FL
Editor
Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
851
Permanent link to this record
Author
Kirtman, B. P. ; Misra, V. ; Burgman, R. J. ; Infanti, J. ; Obeysekera, J.
Title
Florida Climate Variability and Prediction
Type
$loc['typeBook Chapter']
Year
2017
Publication
Florida's climate: Changes, variations, & impacts
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
511-532
Keywords
Multi-model ensembles ; Regional climate prediction ; Dynamical downscaling ; Statistical downscaling
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Florida Climate Institute
Place of Publication
Gainesville, FL
Editor
Chassignet, E. P.; Jones, J. W.; Misra, V.; Obeysekera, J.
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
850
Permanent link to this record