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Author
Glenn, S.M. ; Miles, T.N. ; Seroka, G.N. ; Xu, Y. ; Forney, R.K. ; Yu, F. ; Roarty, H. ; Schofield, O. ; Kohut, J.
Title
Stratified coastal ocean interactions with tropical cyclones
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2016
Publication
Nature Communications
Abbreviated Journal
Nat Commun
Volume
7
Issue
Pages
10887
Keywords
Abstract
Hurricane-intensity forecast improvements currently lag the progress achieved for hurricane tracks. Integrated ocean observations and simulations during hurricane Irene (2011) reveal that the wind-forced two-layer circulation of the stratified coastal ocean, and resultant shear-induced mixing, led to significant and rapid ahead-of-eye-centre cooling (at least 6 degrees C and up to 11 degrees C) over a wide swath of the continental shelf. Atmospheric simulations establish this cooling as the missing contribution required to reproduce Irene's accelerated intensity reduction. Historical buoys from 1985 to 2015 show that ahead-of-eye-centre cooling occurred beneath all 11 tropical cyclones that traversed the Mid-Atlantic Bight continental shelf during stratified summer conditions. A Yellow Sea buoy similarly revealed significant and rapid ahead-of-eye-centre cooling during Typhoon Muifa (2011). These findings establish that including realistic coastal baroclinic processes in forecasts of storm intensity and impacts will be increasingly critical to mid-latitude population centres as sea levels rise and tropical cyclone maximum intensities migrate poleward.
Address
Center for Ocean Observing Leadership, Department of Marine and Coastal Sciences, School of Environmental and Biological Sciences, Rutgers University, 71 Dudley Road, New Brunswick, New Jersey 08901, USA
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
English
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
2041-1723
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
PMID:26953963; PMCID:PMC4786775
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
110
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