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Author Zavala-Hidalgo, J. ; Morey, S.L. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title Cyclonic Eddies Northeast of the Campeche Bank from Altimetry Data Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2003 Publication Journal of Physical Oceanography Abbreviated Journal J. Phys. Oceanogr.
Volume 33
Issue 3
Pages 623-629
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0022-3670
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding ONR, NOAA, NASA
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 483
Permanent link to this record
Author Leonardi, A.P. ; Morey, S.L. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title Interannual Variability in the Eastern Subtropical North Pacific Ocean Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2002 Publication Journal of Physical Oceanography Abbreviated Journal J. Phys. Oceanogr.
Volume 32
Issue 6
Pages 1824-1837
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0022-3670
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding NASA, ONR
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 496
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Author Smith, S.R. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title Regional Snowfall Distributions Associated with ENSO: Implications for Seasonal Forecasting Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2001 Publication Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Abbreviated Journal Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Volume 82
Issue 6
Pages 1179-1191
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0003-0007
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding ONR, NOAA
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 507
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Author Enloe, J. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Smith, S.R.
Title ENSO Impacts on Peak Wind Gusts in the United States Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2004 Publication Journal of Climate Abbreviated Journal J. Climate
Volume 17
Issue 8
Pages 1728-1737
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0894-8755
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding NOAA
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 458
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Author Hanley, D.E. ; Bourassa, M.A. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Smith, S.R. ; Spade, E.R.
Title A Quantitative Evaluation of ENSO Indices Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2003 Publication Journal of Climate Abbreviated Journal J. Climate
Volume 16
Issue 8
Pages 1249-1258
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0894-8755
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding NOAA
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 480
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Author Tartaglione, C.A. ; Smith, S.R. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title ENSO Impact on Hurricane Landfall Probabilities for the Caribbean Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2003 Publication Journal of Climate Abbreviated Journal J. Climate
Volume 16
Issue 17
Pages 2925-2931
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Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0894-8755
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding NOAA
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 473
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Author Patten, J.M. ; Smith, S.R. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title Impacts of ENSO on Snowfall Frequencies in the United States Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2003 Publication Weather and Forecasting Abbreviated Journal Wea. Forecasting
Volume 18
Issue 5
Pages 965-980
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0882-8156
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding NOAA
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 472
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Author Smith, S.R. ; Bourassa, M.A. ; Sharp, R.J.
Title Establishing More Truth in True Winds Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 1999 Publication Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology Abbreviated Journal J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol.
Volume 16
Issue 7
Pages 939-952
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Language Summary Language Original Title
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ISSN 0739-0572
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding ONR, NSF, NASA
Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 766
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Author Williford, C. E. ; Krishnamurti, T.N. ; Torres, R.C. ; Cocke, S. ; Christidis, Z. ; Vijaya Kumar, T.S.
Title Real-Time Multimodel Superensemble Forecasts of Atlantic Tropical Systems of 1999 Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2003 Publication Monthly Weather Review Abbreviated Journal Mon. Wea. Rev.
Volume 131
Issue 8
Pages 1878-1894
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Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0027-0644
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 839
Permanent link to this record
Author Devanas, A. ; Stefanova, L.
Title Statistical Prediction Of Waterspout Probability For The Florida Keys Type $loc['typeJournal Article']
Year 2018 Publication Weather and Forecasting Abbreviated Journal Wea. Forecasting
Volume 33
Issue Pages 389-410
Keywords Regression analysis ; Forecast verification/skill ; Forecasting techniques ; Probability forecasts/models/distribution ; Statistical forecasting
Abstract A statistical model of waterspout probability was developed for wet-season (June–September) days over the Florida Keys. An analysis was performed on over 200 separate variables derived from Key West 1200 UTC daily wet-season soundings during the period 2006–14. These variables were separated into two subsets: days on which a waterspout was reported anywhere in the Florida Keys coastal waters and days on which no waterspouts were reported. Days on which waterspouts were reported were determined from the National Weather Service (NWS) Key West local storm reports. The sounding at Key West was used for this analysis since it was assumed to be representative of the atmospheric environment over the area evaluated in this study. The probability of a waterspout report day was modeled using multiple logistic regression with selected predictors obtained from the sounding variables. The final model containing eight separate variables was validated using repeated fivefold cross validation, and its performance was compared to that of an existing waterspout index used as a benchmark. The performance of the model was further validated in forecast mode using an independent verification wet-season dataset from 2015–16 that was not used to define or train the model. The eight-predictor model was found to produce a probability forecast with robust skill relative to climatology and superior to the benchmark waterspout index in both the cross validation and in the independent verification.
Address
Corporate Author Thesis
Publisher Place of Publication Editor
Language Summary Language Original Title
Series Editor Series Title Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume Series Issue Edition
ISSN 0882-8156
ISBN Medium
Area Expedition Conference
Funding Approved $loc['no']
Call Number COAPS @ mfield @
Serial 553
Permanent link to this record
