Records
Links
Author
Tartaglione, C.A. ; Smith, S.R. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
ENSO Impact on Hurricane Landfall Probabilities for the Caribbean
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2003
Publication
Journal of Climate
Abbreviated Journal
J. Climate
Volume
16
Issue
17
Pages
2925-2931
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0894-8755
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
NOAA
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
473
Permanent link to this record
Author
Krishnamurti, T.N. ; Kishtawal, C.M. ; Shin, D.W. ; Williford, C.E.
Title
Improving Tropical Precipitation Forecasts from a Multianalysis Superensemble
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2000
Publication
Journal of Climate
Abbreviated Journal
J. Climate
Volume
13
Issue
23
Pages
4217-4227
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0894-8755
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
791
Permanent link to this record
Author
Patten, J.M. ; Smith, S.R. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
Impacts of ENSO on Snowfall Frequencies in the United States
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2003
Publication
Weather and Forecasting
Abbreviated Journal
Wea. Forecasting
Volume
18
Issue
5
Pages
965-980
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0882-8156
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
NOAA
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
472
Permanent link to this record
Author
Weissman, D.E. ; Bourassa, M.A. ; Tongue, J.
Title
Effects of Rain Rate and Wind Magnitude on SeaWinds Scatterometer Wind Speed Errors
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2002
Publication
Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology
Abbreviated Journal
J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol.
Volume
19
Issue
5
Pages
738-746
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0739-0572
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
830
Permanent link to this record
Author
Smith, S.R. ; Bourassa, M.A. ; Sharp, R.J.
Title
Establishing More Truth in True Winds
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
1999
Publication
Journal of Atmospheric and Oceanic Technology
Abbreviated Journal
J. Atmos. Oceanic Technol.
Volume
16
Issue
7
Pages
939-952
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0739-0572
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
ONR, NSF, NASA
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
766
Permanent link to this record
Author
Melsom, A. ; Meyers, S.D. ; O'Brien, J.J. ; Hurlburt, H.E. ; Metzger, J.E.
Title
ENSO Effects on Gulf of Alaska Eddies
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
1999
Publication
Earth Interactions
Abbreviated Journal
Earth Interact.
Volume
3
Issue
1
Pages
1-30
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1087-3562
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
767
Permanent link to this record
Author
Williford, C. E. ; Krishnamurti, T.N. ; Torres, R.C. ; Cocke, S. ; Christidis, Z. ; Vijaya Kumar, T.S.
Title
Real-Time Multimodel Superensemble Forecasts of Atlantic Tropical Systems of 1999
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2003
Publication
Monthly Weather Review
Abbreviated Journal
Mon. Wea. Rev.
Volume
131
Issue
8
Pages
1878-1894
Keywords
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0027-0644
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
839
Permanent link to this record
Author
Devanas, A. ; Stefanova, L.
Title
Statistical Prediction Of Waterspout Probability For The Florida Keys
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
Weather and Forecasting
Abbreviated Journal
Wea. Forecasting
Volume
33
Issue
Pages
389-410
Keywords
Regression analysis ; Forecast verification/skill ; Forecasting techniques ; Probability forecasts/models/distribution ; Statistical forecasting
Abstract
A statistical model of waterspout probability was developed for wet-season (June–September) days over the Florida Keys. An analysis was performed on over 200 separate variables derived from Key West 1200 UTC daily wet-season soundings during the period 2006–14. These variables were separated into two subsets: days on which a waterspout was reported anywhere in the Florida Keys coastal waters and days on which no waterspouts were reported. Days on which waterspouts were reported were determined from the National Weather Service (NWS) Key West local storm reports. The sounding at Key West was used for this analysis since it was assumed to be representative of the atmospheric environment over the area evaluated in this study. The probability of a waterspout report day was modeled using multiple logistic regression with selected predictors obtained from the sounding variables. The final model containing eight separate variables was validated using repeated fivefold cross validation, and its performance was compared to that of an existing waterspout index used as a benchmark. The performance of the model was further validated in forecast mode using an independent verification wet-season dataset from 2015–16 that was not used to define or train the model. The eight-predictor model was found to produce a probability forecast with robust skill relative to climatology and superior to the benchmark waterspout index in both the cross validation and in the independent verification.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0882-8156
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
553
Permanent link to this record
Author
Ahern, K. ; Bourassa, M.A. ; Hart, R.E. ; Zhang, J.A. ; Rogers, R.F.
Title
Observed Kinematic and Thermodynamic Structure in the Hurricane Boundary Layer During Intensity Change
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Monthly Weather Review
Abbreviated Journal
Mon. Wea. Rev.
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
The axisymmetric structure of the inner-core hurricane boundary layer (BL) during intensification [IN; intensity tendency ≥ 20 kt (24 h)−1], weakening [WE; intensity tendency < −10 kt (24 h)−1], and steady-state [SS; the remainder] periods are analyzed using composites of GPS dropwindsondes from reconnaissance missions between 1998 and 2015. A total of 3,091 dropsondes were composited for analysis below 2.5 km elevation—1,086 during IN, 1,042 during WE, and 963 during SS. In non-intensifying hurricanes, the lowlevel tangential wind is greater outside the radius of maximum wind (RMW) than for intensifying hurricanes, implying higher inertial stability (I) at those radii for non-intensifying hurricanes. Differences in tangential wind structure (and I) between the groups also imply differences in secondary circulation. The IN radial inflow layer is of nearly equal or greater thickness than nonintensifying groups, and all groups show an inflow maximum just outside the RMW. Non-intensifying hurricanes have stronger inflow outside the eyewall region, likely associated with frictionally forced ascent out of the BL and enhanced subsidence into the BL at radii outside the RMW. Equivalent potential temperatures (θe) and conditional stability are highest inside the RMW of non-intensifying storms, which is potentially related to TC intensity. At greater radii, inflow layer θe is lowest in WE hurricanes, suggesting greater subsidence or more convective downdrafts at those radii compared to IN and SS hurricanes. Comparisons of prior observational and theoretical studies are highlighted, especially those relating BL structure to large-scale vortex structure, convection, and intensity.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0027-0644
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1031
Permanent link to this record
Author
Misra, V. ; Bhardwaj, A.
Title
Defining the Northeast Monsoon of India
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Monthly Weather Review
Abbreviated Journal
Mon. Wea. Rev.
Volume
147
Issue
3
Pages
791-807
Keywords
Indian Summer Monsoon, intraseasonal,Climate models, variability, NEM, rainfall
Abstract
This study introduces an objective definition for onset and demise of the Northeast Indian Monsoon (NEM). The definition is based on the land surface temperature analysis over the Indian subcontinent. It is diagnosed from the inflection points in the daily anomaly cumulative curve of the area-averaged surface temperature over the provinces of Andhra Pradesh, Rayalseema, and Tamil Nadu located in the southeastern part of India. Per this definition, the climatological onset and demise dates of the NEM season are 6 November and 13 March, respectively. The composite evolution of the seasonal cycle of 850hPa winds, surface wind stress, surface ocean currents, and upper ocean heat content suggest a seasonal shift around the time of the diagnosed onset and demise dates of the NEM season. The interannual variations indicate onset date variations have a larger impact than demise date variations on the seasonal length, seasonal anomalies of rainfall, and surface temperature of the NEM. Furthermore, it is shown that warm El Niño�Southern Oscillation (ENSO) episodes are associated with excess seasonal rainfall, warm seasonal land surface temperature anomalies, and reduced lengths of the NEM season. Likewise, cold ENSO episodes are likely to be related to seasonal deficit rainfall anomalies, cold land surface temperature anomalies, and increased lengths of the NEM season.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
English
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0027-0644
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ rl18 @
Serial
999
Permanent link to this record