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Author
Brolley, J. M.
Title
Effects of ENSO, NAO (PVO), and PDO on Monthly Extreme Temperatures and Precipitation
Type
$loc['typeManuscript']
Year
2007
Publication
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
Issue
Pages
Keywords
NAO, PDO, ENSO, Climate Variability, Extremes, Stochastic
Abstract
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), and the Polar Vortex Oscillation (PVO) produce conditions favorable for monthly extreme temperatures and precipitation. These climate modes produce upper-level teleconnection patterns that favor regional droughts, floods, heat waves, and cold spells, and these extremes impact agriculture, energy, forestry, and transportation. The above sectors prefer the knowledge of the worst (and sometimes the best) case scenarios. This study examines the extreme scenarios for each phase and the combination of phases that produce the greatest monthly extremes. Data from Canada, Mexico, and the United States are gathered from the Historical Climatology Network (HCN). Monthly data are simulated by the utilization of a Monte Carlo model. This Monte Carlo method simulates monthly data by the stochastic selection of daily data with identical ENSO, PDO, and PVO (NAO) characteristics. In order to test the quality of the Monte Carlo simulation, the simulations are compared with the observations using only PDO and PVO. It has been found that temperatures and precipitation in the simulation are similar to the model. Statistics tests have favored similarities between simulations and observations in most cases. Daily data are selected in blocks of four to eight days in order to conserve temporal correlation. Because the polar vortex occurs only during the cold season, the PVO is used during January, and the NAO is used during other months. The simulated data are arranged, and the tenth and ninetieth percentiles are analyzed. The magnitudes of temperature and precipitation anomalies are the greatest in the western Canada and the southeastern United States during winter, and these anomalies are located near the Pacific North American (PNA) extrema. Western Canada has its coldest (warmest) Januaries when the PDO and PVO are low (high). The southeastern United States has its coldest Januaries with high PDO and low PVO and warmest Januaries with low PDO and high PVO. Although extremes occur during El Nino or La Nina, many stations have the highest or lowest temperatures during neutral ENSO. In California and the Gulf Coast, the driest (wettest) Januaries tend to occur during low (high) PDO, and the reverse occurs in Tennessee, Kentucky, Ohio, and Indiana. Summertime anomalies, on the other hand, are weak because temperature variance is low. Phase combinations that form the wettest (driest) Julies form spatially incoherent patterns. The magnitudes of the temperature and precipitation anomalies and the corresponding phase combinations vary regionally and seasonally. Composite maps of geopotential heights across North America are plot for low, median, and high temperatures at six selected sites and for low, median, and high precipitation at the same sites. The greatest fluctuations occur near the six sites and over some of the loci of the PNA pattern. Geopotential heights tend to decrease (increase) over the target stations during the cold (warm) cases, and the results for precipitation are variable.
Address
Department of Meteorology
Corporate Author
Thesis
$loc['Ph.D. thesis']
Publisher
Florida State University
Place of Publication
Tallahassee, FL
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
587
Permanent link to this record
Author
Bunge, L. ; Clarke, A.J.
Title
On the Warm Water Volume and Its Changing Relationship with ENSO
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2014
Publication
Journal of Physical Oceanography
Abbreviated Journal
J. Phys. Oceanogr.
Volume
44
Issue
5
Pages
1372-1385
Keywords
Physical Meteorology and Climatology ; Climate variability ; ENSO ; Observational techniques and algorithms ; Climate records ; Variability ; Decadal variability ; Interannual variability
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0022-3670
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
156
Permanent link to this record
Author
Cammarano, D. ; Stefanova, L. ; Ortiz, B.V. ; Ramirez-Rodrigues, M. ; Asseng, S. ; Misra, V. ; Wilkerson, G. ; Basso, B. ; Jones, J.W. ; Boote, K.J. ; DiNapoli, S.
Title
Evaluating the fidelity of downscaled climate data on simulated wheat and maize production in the southeastern US
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2013
Publication
Regional Environmental Change
Abbreviated Journal
Reg Environ Change
Volume
13
Issue
S1
Pages
101-110
Keywords
Crop simulation models ; Climate variability ; Global circulation models ; Reanalysis ; Wheat ; Maize
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1436-3798
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
187
Permanent link to this record
Author
Fraisse, C.W. ; Breuer, N.E. ; Zierden, D. ; Bellow, J.G. ; Paz, J. ; Cabrera, V.E. ; Garcia y Garcia, A. ; Ingram, K.T. ; Hatch, U. ; Hoogenboom, G. ; Jones, J.W. ; O'Brien, J.J.
Title
AgClimate: A climate forecast information system for agricultural risk management in the southeastern USA
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2006
Publication
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Abbreviated Journal
Computers and Electronics in Agriculture
Volume
53
Issue
1
Pages
13-27
Keywords
crop models climate variability ; decision making ; ENSO ; El Nino ; extension
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0168-1699
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
434
Permanent link to this record
Author
Fu, C.B. ; Qian, C. ; Wu, Z.H.
Title
Projection of global mean surface air temperature changes in next 40 years: Uncertainties of climate models and an alternative approach
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2011
Publication
Science China Earth Sciences
Abbreviated Journal
Sci. China Earth Sci.
Volume
54
Issue
9
Pages
1400-1406
Keywords
decadal prediction ; global warming ; multi-decadal climate variability ; the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition ; CMIP3 multi-model
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1674-7313
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
293
Permanent link to this record
Author
Gilford, D.M. ; Smith, S.R. ; Griffin, M.L. ; Arguez, A.
Title
Southeastern U.S. Daily Temperature Ranges Associated with the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2013
Publication
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Abbreviated Journal
J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol.
Volume
52
Issue
11
Pages
2434-2449
Keywords
Climate variability ; Climatology ; ENSO ; Surface temperature ; Climate records
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1558-8424
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
180
Permanent link to this record
Author
Kumar, V. ; Jana, S. ; Bhardwaj, A. ; Deepa, R. ; Sahu, S.K. ; Pradhan, P.K. ; Sirdas, S.A.
Title
Greenhouse Gas Emission, Rainfall and Crop Production Over North-Western India
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2018
Publication
The Open Ecology Journal
Abbreviated Journal
TOECOLJ
Volume
11
Issue
1
Pages
47-61
Keywords
Greenhouse gases, CH4, Climate Variability, Emissions, Crop production, Rainfall.
Abstract
Background: This study is based on datasets acquired from multi sources e.g. rain-gauges, satellite, reanalysis and coupled model for the region of Northwestern India. The influence of rainfall on crop production is obvious and direct. With the climate change and global warming, greenhouse gases are also showing an adverse impact on crop production. Greenhouse gases (e.g. CO2, NO2 and CH4) have shown an increasing trend over Northwestern Indian region. In recent years, rainfall has also shown an increasing trend over Northwestern India, while the production of rice and maize are reducing over the region. From eight selected sites, over Northwestern India, where rice and maize productions have reduced by 40%, with an increase in CO2, NO2 and CH4 gas emission by 5% from 1998 to 2011. Results: The correlation from one year to another between rainfall, gas emission and crop production was not very robust throughout the study period, but seemed to be stronger for some years than others. Conclusion: Such trends and crop yield are attributed to rainfall, greenhouse gas emissions and to the climate variability.
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
1874-2130
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1017
Permanent link to this record
Author
Lu, J. ; Hu, A. ; Zeng, Z.
Title
On the possible interaction between internal climate variability and forced climate change
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2014
Publication
Geophysical Research Letters
Abbreviated Journal
Geophys. Res. Lett.
Volume
41
Issue
8
Pages
2962-2970
Keywords
climate variability ; forced climate change ; global warming hiatus ; Atlantic Multidecadal Variability (AMV) ; Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO)
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0094-8276
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
138
Permanent link to this record
Author
Morey, S.L. ; Dukhovskoy, D.S. ; Bourassa, M.A.
Title
Connectivity of the Apalachicola River flow variability and the physical and bio-optical oceanic properties of the northern West Florida Shelf
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2009
Publication
Continental Shelf Research
Abbreviated Journal
Continental Shelf Research
Volume
29
Issue
9
Pages
1264-1275
Keywords
River plumes ; Climate variability ; Ocean color ; West Florida Shelf ; Apalachicola River
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0278-4343
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
NASA, OVWST
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
393
Permanent link to this record
Author
Perron, M. ; Sura, P.
Title
Climatology of Non-Gaussian Atmospheric Statistics
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2013
Publication
Journal of Climate
Abbreviated Journal
J. Climate
Volume
26
Issue
3
Pages
1063-1083
Keywords
Atmospheric circulation ; Extreme events ; Climate variability ; Climatology ; Statistics ; Time series
Abstract
Address
Corporate Author
Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
Language
Summary Language
Original Title
Series Editor
Series Title
Abbreviated Series Title
Series Volume
Series Issue
Edition
ISSN
0894-8755
ISBN
Medium
Area
Expedition
Conference
Funding
Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ mfield @
Serial
225
Permanent link to this record