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Jackson, L.C. ; Dubois, C. ; Forget, G. ; Haines, K. ; Harrison, M. ; Iovino, D. ; Köhl, A. ; Mignac, D. ; Masina, S. ; Peterson, K.A. ; Piecuch, C.G. ; Roberts, C.D. ; Robson, J. ; Storto, A. ; Toyoda, T. ; Valdivieso, M. ; Wilson, C. ; Wang, Y. ; Zuo, H.
Title
The Mean State and Variability of the North Atlantic Circulation: A Perspective From Ocean Reanalyses
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res. Oceans
Volume
124
Issue
12
Pages
8969-9003
Keywords
Abstract
The transfer of Indian Ocean thermocline and intermediate waters into the South Atlantic via the Agulhas leakage is generally believed to be primarily accomplished through mesoscale eddy processes, essentially anticyclones known as Agulhas Rings. Here we take advantage of a recent eddy tracking algorithm and Argo float profiles to study the evolution and the thermohaline structure of one of these eddies over the course of 1.5 years (May 2013–November 2014). We found that during this period the ring evolved according to two different phases: During the first one, taking place in winter, the mixing layer in the eddy deepened significantly. During the second phase, the eddy subsided below the upper warmer layer of the South Atlantic subtropical gyre while propagating west. The separation of this eddy from the sea surface could explain the decrease in its surface signature in satellite altimetry maps, suggesting that such changes are not due to eddy dissipation processes. It is a very large eddy (7.1×1013 m3 in volume), extending, after subduction, from a depth of 200–1,200 m and characterized by two mode water cores. The two mode water cores represent the largest eddy heat and salt anomalies when compared with the surrounding. In terms of its impact over 1 year, the north‐westward propagation of this long‐lived anticyclone induces a transport of 2.2 Sv of water, 0.008 PW of heat, and 2.2×105 kg s−1 of salt. These results confirm that Agulhas Rings play a very important role in the Indo‐Atlantic interocean exchange of heat and salt.
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Series Editor
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Edition
ISSN
2169-9275
ISBN
Medium
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Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1080
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Author
Karmakar, N. ; Misra, V.
Title
Differences in Northward Propagation of Convection Over the Arabian Sea and Bay of Bengal During Boreal Summer
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res. Atmos.
Volume
125
Issue
3
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
The governing dynamics that modulate the propagation characteristics of intraseasonal oscillations (ISO) during summer monsoon over the two ocean basins, Bay of Bengal (BoB) and Arabian Sea (AS), are investigated using observational analysis and high‐resolution regional coupled ocean‐atmosphere climate model simulations. ISO features are extracted over the Indian region using a data‐adaptive spectral method called multichannel singular spectrum analysis. ISO exhibits stronger intensity over the BoB than over the AS. But ISO‐filtered rainfall propagates at a faster rate ( urn:x-wiley:jgrd:media:jgrd55983:jgrd55983-math-00011.25°/day) over AS as compared to BoB ( urn:x-wiley:jgrd:media:jgrd55983:jgrd55983-math-0002.74°/day), giving rise to a northwest‐southeast tilted band of rainfall anomalies. However, the composite diagrams of several atmospheric fields associated with northward propagation like vorticity, low‐level convergence, and oceanic variables like sea surface temperature and mixed layer depth do not show this difference in propagation speed and all exhibit a speed of nearly 0.75°/day in both the ocean basins. The difference in speed of ISO‐filtered rainfall is explained through moisture flux convergence. Anomalous horizontal moisture advection plays a major role over AS in preconditioning the atmosphere and making it favorable for convection. Anomalous wind acting on climatological moisture gradient is the dominant term in the moisture advection equation. Easterly wind anomalies associated with a low‐level anticyclone over India helps advect moisture from the eastern side of the domain. The northwest‐southeast tilt of ISO is dictated by the atmospheric processes of moisture advection with the upper ocean playing a more passive role in causing the tilt.
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ISSN
2169-897X
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$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1099
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Author
Kelly, T.B. ; Davison, P.C. ; Goericke, R. ; Landry, M.R. ; Ohman, M.D. ; Stukel, M,R.
Title
The Importance of Mesozooplankton Diel Vertical Migration for Sustaining a Mesopelagic Food Web
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
FRONTIERS IN MARINE SCIENCE
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
6
Issue
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
We used extensive ecological and biogeochemical measurements obtained from quasi-Lagrangian experiments during two California Current Ecosystem Long-Term Ecosystem Research cruises to analyze carbon fluxes between the epipelagic and mesopelagic zones using a linear inverse ecosystem model (LIEM). Measurement constraints on the model include C-14 primary productivity, dilution-based microzooplankton grazing rates, gut pigment-based mesozooplankton grazing rates (on multiple zooplankton size classes), Th-234:U-238 disequilibrium and sediment trap measured carbon export, and metabolic requirements of micronekton, zooplankton, and bacteria. A likelihood approach (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) was used to estimate the resulting flow uncertainties from a sample of potential flux networks. Results highlight the importance of mesozooplankton active transport (i.e., diel vertical migration) in supplying the carbon demand of mesopelagic organisms and sequestering carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. In nine water parcels ranging from a coastal bloom to offshore oligotrophic conditions, mesozooplankton active transport accounted for 18-84% (median: 42%) of the total carbon transfer to the mesopelagic, with gravitational settling of POC (12-55%; median: 37%), and subduction (2-32%; median: 14%) providing the majority of the remainder. Vertically migrating zooplankton contributed to downward carbon flux through respiration and excretion at depth and via mortality losses to predatory zooplankton and mesopelagic fish (e.g., myctophids and gonostomatids). Sensitivity analyses showed that the results of the LIEM were robust to changes in nekton metabolic demand, rates of bacterial production, and mesozooplankton gross growth efficiency. This analysis suggests that prior estimates of zooplankton active transport based on conservative estimates of standard (rather than active) metabolism are likely too low.
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$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1084
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Author
Kim, D. ; Lee, S.-K. ; Lopez, H. ; Foltz, G.R. ; Misra, V. ; Kumar, A.
Title
On the Role of Pacific-Atlantic SST Contrast and Associated Caribbean Sea Convection in August-October U.S. Regional Rainfall Variability
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2020
Publication
Geophysical Research Letters
Abbreviated Journal
Geophys. Res. Lett.
Volume
47
Issue
11
Pages
Keywords
Pacific‐ ; Atlantic SST interaction ; Atlantic Warm pool ; Caribbean Sea ; U.S. precipitation
Abstract
This study investigates the large‐scale atmospheric processes that lead to U.S. precipitation variability in late summer to midfall (August–October; ASO) and shows that the well‐recognized relationship between North Atlantic Subtropical High and U.S. precipitation in peak summer (June–August) significantly weakens in ASO. The working hypothesis derived from our analysis is that in ASO convective activity in the Caribbean Sea, modulated by the tropical Pacific‐Atlantic sea surface temperature (SST) anomaly contrast, directly influences the North American Low‐Level Jet and thus U.S. precipitation east of the Rockies, through a Gill‐type response. This hypothesis derived from observations is strongly supported by a long‐term climate model simulation and by a linear baroclinic atmospheric model with prescribed diabatic forcings in the Caribbean Sea. This study integrates key findings from previous studies and advances a consistent physical rationale that links the Pacific‐Atlantic SST anomaly contrast, Caribbean Sea convective activity, and U.S. rainfall in ASO.
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ISSN
0094-8276
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$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1110
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Author
Kranz, S.A. ; Wang, S. ; Kelly, T.B. ; Stukel, M.R. ; Goericke, R. ; Landry, M.R. ; Cassar, N.
Title
Lagrangian Studies of Marine Production: A Multimethod Assessment of Productivity Relationships in the California Current Ecosystem Upwelling Region
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2020
Publication
Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Abbreviated Journal
J. Geophys. Res. Oceans
Volume
125
Issue
6
Pages
Keywords
gross primary production ; long‐ ; term ecological research ; equilibrium inlet mass spectrometry ; carbon export ; net community production
Abstract
A multimethod process‐oriented investigation of diverse productivity measures in the California Current Ecosystem (CCE) Long‐Term Ecological Research study region, a complex physical environment, is presented. Seven multiday deployments covering a transition region from high to low productivity were conducted over two field expeditions (spring 2016 and summer 2017). Employing a Lagrangian study design, water parcels were followed over several days, comparing 24‐h in situ measurements (14C and 15NO3 ‐uptake, dilution estimates of phytoplankton growth, and microzooplankton grazing) with high‐resolution productivity measurements by fast repetition rate fluorometry (FRRF) and equilibrium inlet mass spectrometry (EIMS), and integrated carbon export measuremnts using sediment traps. Results show the importance of accounting for temporal and fine spatial scale variability when estimating ecosystem production. FRRF and EIMS measurements resolved diel patterns in gross primary and net community production. Diel productivity changes agreed well with comparably more traditional measurements. While differences in productivity metrics calculated over different time intervals were considerable, as those methods rely on different base assumptions, the data can be used to explain ecosystem processes which would otherwise have gone unnoticed. The processes resolved from this method comparison further understanding of temporal and spatial coupling and decoupling of surface productivity and potential carbon burial in a gradient from coastal to offshore ecosystems.
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Series Editor
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ISSN
2169-9275
ISBN
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Approved
$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1113
Permanent link to this record
Author
Laxenaire, R., Speich, S., & Alexandre S
Title
Evolution of the thermohaline structure of one Agulhas Ring reconstructed from satellite altimetry and Argo floats. Journal of Geophysical Research
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Oceans
Abbreviated Journal
Volume
124
Issue
12
Pages
8969-9003
Keywords
Abstract
Address
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Thesis
Publisher
Place of Publication
Editor
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Summary Language
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Series Editor
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$loc['no']
Call Number
COAPS @ user @
Serial
1096
Permanent link to this record
Author
Liu, Q. ; Tan, Z-M. ; Sun, J. ; Hou, Y. ; Fu, C. ; Wu, Z.
Title
Changing rapid weather variability increases influenza epidemic risk in a warming climate
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2020
Publication
Environmental Research Letters
Abbreviated Journal
Environmental Research Letters
Volume
15
Issue
4
Pages
Keywords
Abstract
The continuing change of the Earth's climate is believed to affect the influenza viral activity and transmission in the coming decades. However, a consensus of the severity of the risk of influenza epidemic in a warming climate has not been reached. It was previously reported that the warmer winter can reduce influenza epidemic-caused mortality, but this relation cannot explain the deadly influenza epidemic in many countries over northern mid-latitudes in the winter of 2017-2018, one of the warmest winters in recent decades. Here we reveal that the widely spread 2017-2018 influenza epidemic can be attributed to the abnormally strong rapid weather variability. We demonstrate, from historical data, that the large rapid weather variability in autumn can precondition the deadly influenza epidemic in the subsequent months in highly populated northern mid-latitudes; and the influenza epidemic season of 2017-2018 was a typical case. We further show that climate model projections reach a consensus that the rapid weather variability in autumn will continue to strengthen in some regions of northern mid-latitudes in a warming climate, implying that the risk of influenza epidemic may increase 20% to 50% in some highly populated regions in later 21st century.
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$loc['no']
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COAPS @ user @
Serial
1070
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Author
Magar, V. ; Godínez, V.M. ; Gross, M.S. ; López-Mariscal, M. ; Bermúdez-Romero, A. ; Candela, J. ; and Zamudio, L.
Title
In-stream Energy by Tidal and Wind-driven Currents: An Analysis for the Gulf of California
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2020
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Abbreviated Journal
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Issue
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Abstract
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$loc['no']
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COAPS @ user @
Serial
1101
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Author
Maloney, E.D. ; Gettelman, A. ; Ming, Y. ; Neelin, J.D. ; Barrie, D. ; Mariotti, A. ; Chen, C.-C. ; Coleman, D.R.B. ; Kuo, Y.-H. ; Singh, B. ; Annamalai, H. ; Berg, A. ; Booth, J.F. ; Camargo, S.J. ; Dai, A. ; Gonzalez, A. ; Hafner, J. ; Jiang, X. ; Jing, X. ; Kim, D. ; Kumar, A. ; Moon, Y. ; Naud, C.M. ; Sobel, A.H. ; Suzuki, K. ; Wang, F. ; Wang, J. ; Wing, A.A. ; Xu, X. ; Zhao, M.
Title
Process-Oriented Evaluation of Climate and Weather Forecasting Models
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2019
Publication
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Abbreviated Journal
Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc.
Volume
100
Issue
9
Pages
1665-1686
Keywords
Abstract
Realistic climate and weather prediction models are necessary to produce confidence in projections of future climate over many decades and predictions for days to seasons. These models must be physically justified and validated for multiple weather and climate processes. A key opportunity to accelerate model improvement is greater incorporation of process-oriented diagnostics (PODs) into standard packages that can be applied during the model development process, allowing the application of diagnostics to be repeatable across multiple model versions and used as a benchmark for model improvement. A POD characterizes a specific physical process or emergent behavior that is related to the ability to simulate an observed phenomenon. This paper describes the outcomes of activities by the Model Diagnostics Task Force (MDTF) under the NOAA Climate Program Office (CPO) Modeling, Analysis, Predictions and Projections (MAPP) program to promote development of PODs and their application to climate and weather prediction models. MDTF and modeling center perspectives on the need for expanded process-oriented diagnosis of models are presented. Multiple PODs developed by the MDTF are summarized, and an open-source software framework developed by the MDTF to aid application of PODs to centers' model development is presented in the context of other relevant community activities. The paper closes by discussing paths forward for the MDTF effort and for community process-oriented diagnosis.
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0003-0007
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$loc['no']
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COAPS @ user @
Serial
1088
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Author
Mende, M. ; Misra, V.
Title
Time to Flatten the Curves on COVID-19 and Climate Change. Marketing Can Help
Type
$loc['typeJournal Article']
Year
2020
Publication
Journal of Public Policy & Marketing
Abbreviated Journal
Journal of Public Policy & Marketing
Volume
Issue
Pages
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Abstract
The health, economic, and social impact of the COVID-19 pandemic is unprecedented in our lifetime, and no individual in this globalized, interconnected world is immune from its effects. This pandemic is a fundamental challenge for consumers, companies, and governments. Against this background, our commentary underscores linkages between public health, environment, and economy and explores how lessons from COVID-19 can help prevent other large-scale disasters.1 We focus on global climate change (GCC), because rising temperatures increase the likelihood of future pandemics.2 Accordingly, experts consider GCC “the largest public health threat of the century” (Wyns 2020). Although societal crises are underresearched in marketing, we propose that marketers should add their expertise to help avoid future crises. Notably, the Journal of Public Policy & Marketing (JPP&M) is uniquely positioned as a premier outlet for corresponding research at the intersection of marketing and policy.
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$loc['no']
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COAPS @ user @
Serial
1117
Permanent link to this record